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Wage inequality, minimum wage effects and spillovers

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Stewart, Mark B. (2011) Wage inequality, minimum wage effects and spillovers. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick. Dept. of Economics. (Warwick economics research paper series (TWERPS), Vol.2011).

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Abstract

This paper investigates possible spillover effects of the UK minimum wage. The halt in the growth in inequality in the lower half of the wage distribution (as measured by the 50:10 percentile ratio) since the mid 1990s, in contrast to the continued inequality growth in the upper half of the distribution, suggests the possibility of a minimum wage effect and spillover effects on wages above the minimum. This paper analyses individual wage changes, using both a difference-in-differences estimator and a specification involving cross-uprating comparisons, and concludes that there have not been minimum wage spillovers. Since the UK minimum wage has always been below the 10th percentile, this lack of spillovers implies that minimum wage changes have not had an effect on the 50:10 percentile ratio measure of inequality in the lower half of the wage distribution.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Income distribution -- Great Britain, Minimum wage -- Great Britain
Series Name: Warwick economics research paper series (TWERPS)
Publisher: University of Warwick. Dept. of Economics
Place of Publication: Coventry
Date: 2011
Volume: Vol.2011
Number: No.965
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Funder: Economic and Social Research Council (Great Britain) (ESRC), Great Britain. Low Pay Commission (LPC)
Grant number: RES000222611 (ESRC)
References: Autor, D.H., Katz, L. and Kearney, M. (2008), “Trends in U.S. wage inequality: Re-assessing the revisionists”, Review of Economics and Statistics, 90, 300-23. Autor, D.H., Manning, A. and Smith, C.L. (2010), “The contribution of the minimum wage to US wage inequality over three decades: a reassessment”, NBER Working Paper 16533. Bird, D. (2004), “Methodology for the 2004 Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings”, Labour Market Trends, November, 457-64. Butcher, T., Dickens, R. and Manning, A. (2009), “The impact of the NMW on the wage distribution”, Research for the Low Pay Commission. Card, D. and Krueger, A.B. (1995), Myth and Measurement: The New Economics of the Minimum Wage, Princeton University Press. Dickens, R. and Manning, A. (2004a), “Has the national minimum wage reduced UK wage inequality?”, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A, 167, 613-26. Dickens, R. and .Manning, A. (2004b), “Spikes and spillovers: The impact of the national minimum wage on the wage distribution in a low wage sector”, Economic Journal, 114, C95-101. Dickens, R., Riley, R. and Wilkinson, D. (2009), “The Employment and Hours of Work Effects of the Changing National Minimum Wage”, Report to the Low Pay Commission. DiNardo, J., Fortin, N. and Lemieux, T. (1996), “Labor market institutions and the distribution of wages, 1973-1992: A semiparametric approach”, Econometrica, 64, 1001-44. Dobbs, C. (2009), “Patterns of pay: results of the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, 1997 to 2008”, Economic & Labour Market Review, 3(3), 24-32. Falk, A., Fehr, E. and Zehnder, C. (2006), “Fairness perceptions and reservation wages - the behavioural effects of minimum wage laws”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121, 1347-81. Flinn, C.J. (2006), “Minimum wage effects on labour market outcomes under search, matching, and endogenous contact rates”, Econometrica, 74, 1013-62. Lee, D. (1999), “Wage inequality in the United States during the 1980s: Rising dispersion or falling minimum wage?”, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114, 977-1023. Low Pay Commission (2009), National Minimum Wage, LPC Report 2009, Cm 7611, The Stationery Office. Machin, S. (2011), “Changes in UK wage inequality over the last forty years” in Gregg, P. and Wadsworth, J. (eds), The Labour Market in Winter: The State of Working Britain. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Manning, A. (2011), “Minimum wages and wage inequality”, in Marsden, D. (ed), Labour Market Policy for the Twenty-First Century. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Neumark, D., Schweitzer, M. and Wascher, W. (2004), “Minimum wage effects throughout the wage distribution”, Journal of Human Resources, 39, 425-50. Neumark, D. and Wascher, W.L. (2008), Minimum Wages, Cambridge: MIT Press. Robinson, H. and Wadsworth, J. (2007), “Did the minimum wage affect the incidence of second job holding in Britain?”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 54, 553-74. Stewart, M.B. (2004), “The impact of the introduction of the UK minimum wage on the employment probabilities of low-wage workers”, Journal of the European Economic Association, 2, 67-97. Stewart, M.B. (2011), “Quantile estimates of counterfactual distribution shifts and the impact of minimum wage increases on the wage distribution”, Warwick Economic Research Paper 985, forthcoming in Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A. Stewart, M.B. and Swaffield, J.K. (2008), “The other margin: Do minimum wages cause working hours adjustments for low-wage workers?”, Economica, 75, 148-67. Stigler, G.J. (1946), “The economics of minimum wage legislation”, American Economic Review, 36, 358-65. Swaffield, J.K. (2008), “How has the minimum wage affected the wage growth of low-wage workers in Britain?”, mimeo, University of York.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/41110

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