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Statistics for evidence-based policy in the Church of England : predicting diocesan performance

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Francis, Leslie J., Laycock, Patrick and Village, Andrew. (2010) Statistics for evidence-based policy in the Church of England : predicting diocesan performance. Review of Religious Research, Vol.52 (No.2). pp. 207-220. ISSN 0034-673X

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Abstract

This study computed the percentage changes recorded on six separate performance indicators between 1991 and 2000 in order to calculate the effect of the Decade of Evangelism on the mainland dioceses of the Church of England. The performance indicators were usual Sunday attendance, Easter Sunday communicants, Christmas communicants, electoral roll membership, total baptism figures, and total confirmation figures. Statistical procedures (including cluster analysis, analysis of variance, canonical correlation analysis, and multiple regression) were then employed in order to identify from the range of variables routinely collected by the central church authorities policy-related factors associated with church growth (or at least reduced decline) over this period. These analyses identified four areas, concerned with expanding non-stipendiary ministry, with encouraging the ordination of women, with resisting church closure, and with promoting a financial policy that includes planned subscriptions and charitable giving. These conclusions are offered as an applied example of using statistics as a tool for mission and as the basis for evidence-based policy.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BR Christianity
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Institute of Education
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Evangelistic work -- Great Britain, Church of England -- Statistics, Church growth -- Great Britain
Journal or Publication Title: Review of Religious Research
Publisher: Religious Research Association
ISSN: 0034-673X
Date: December 2010
Volume: Vol.52
Number: No.2
Page Range: pp. 207-220
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
References: Church of England (1662). The Book of Common Prayer. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Church of England (1992). Church of England Year Book. London: Church House Publishing. Church of England (1993). Church Statistics: Some facts and figures about the church of England. London: The central board of finance. Church of England (2000). Statistics: a tool for mission. London: Church House Publishing. Church of England (2001). Church statistics: Parochial membership and finance statistics January to December 1999. London: Archbishops‟ Council Research and Statistics Department. Church of England (2002). Church statistics: Parochial membership, attendence, and finance statistics January to December 2000. London: Church House Publishing. Francis, L. J. (1985). Rural Anglicanism, research and vision, Church Times, 20th September. Francis L. J., & Roberts C. (2009). Growth or decline in the Church of England during the Decade of Evangelism: Did the churchmanship of the bishop matter? Journal of Contemporary Religion. Green, M. (1992). Evangelism now and then. London: Darton, Longman and Todd. Hartley, H.O., & Sielken, R. L. (1975). A “super-population viewpoint” for finite population sampling. Biometrics, 31, 411-22. Lankshear, D. W. (2001). One Church or three: Using statistics as a tool for mission. Unpublished PhD dissertation, University of Wales, Lampeter. Lankshear, D. W. (2004). Is the rural church different? The special case of confirmation. Rural Theology, 2, 105-117. Roberts, C., & Francis, L. J. (2006). Church closure and membership statistics: Trends in four rural dioceses. Rural Theology, 4, 37-56. Roberts, C., Robbins, M., Francis L. J., & Hills, P. (2006). The ordination of women and the Church of England today: two integrities but one pattern of decline in membership statistics. Journal of Anglican Studies, 4, 201-208. SPSS Inc (2008). SPSS for Windows: rel 16.0.2. Chicago, IL: SPSS Inc. Warren, R. (1996). Signs of life: How goes the Decade of Evangelism? London: Church House Publishing.
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/4131

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