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Sequential decisions with tests
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Sgroi, Daniel and Gill, David, 1975-. (2008) Sequential decisions with tests. Games and economic behavior, Vol.36 (No.2). pp. 663-678. ISSN 0899-8256
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geb.2006.07.004
Abstract
We consider a principal-agent problem where the principal wishes to be endorsed by a sequence of agents, but cannot truthfully reveal type. In the standard "herding" model, the agents learn from each other’s decisions, which can lead to cascades on a given decision when later agents’ private information is swamped. We augment the standard model to allow the principal to subject herself to a test designed to provide public information about her type. She must decide how tough a test to attempt from a continuum of test types, which involves trading off the higher probability of passing an easier test against the greater impact from passing a tougher test. We find that the principal will always choose to be tested, and will prefer a tough test to a neutral or easy one.
| Item Type: | Journal Article |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics |
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Decision making, Bayesian statistical decision theory |
| Journal or Publication Title: | Games and economic behavior |
| Publisher: | Elsevier |
| ISSN: | 0899-8256 |
| Date: | July 2008 |
| Volume: | Vol.36 |
| Number: | No.2 |
| Page Range: | pp. 663-678 |
| Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.geb.2006.07.004 |
| Status: | Peer Reviewed |
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access |
| Funder: | Economic and Social Research Council (Great Britain) (ESRC), AEA Technology (Firm) |
| References: | Albano, G.L., Lizzeri, A. (2001). Strategic certification and provision of quality. Int. Econ. Rev. 42, pp.267-283. Banerjee, A.V. (1992). A Simple model of herd behavior. Quart. J. Econ. 107, pp.797-817. Bikhchandani, S., Hirshleifer, D., Welch. I. (1992). A Theory of fads, fashion, custom and cultural change as informational cascades. J. Polit. Economy, 100, pp.992-1026. Bose, S., Orosel, G., Ottaviani, M., Vesterlund, L. (2005). Dynamic monopoly pricing and herding. Mimeo. Forthcoming in RAND J. Econ. Calvert, R. L. (1985). The Value of biased information: a rational choice model of political advice. Journal of Politics, 47, pp.530-555. Chamley, C.P. (2004). Rational herds: economic models of social learning. Cambridge University Press. Chiao, B., Lerner, J., Tirole, J. (2005). The Rules of standard setting organizations: an empirical analysis. NBER Working Paper 11156. Farhi, E., Lerner, J., Tirole, J. (2005). Certifying new technologies. Journal of the European Economic Association, 3, pp.734-744. Gill, D., Sgroi, D. (2003). Product launches with biased reviewers: the importance of not being earnest. Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0334. Gill, D., Sgroi, D. (2004). The Superiority of biased reviewers in a model of simultaneous sales. Department of Economics Discussion Paper 206, University of Oxford. Lerner, J., Tirole, J. (2004). A Model of forum shopping, with special reference to standard setting organizations. Harvard NOM Research Paper No. 04-31. Forthcoming in Amer. Econ. Rev. Ottaviani, M., Prat, A. (2001). The Value of public information in monopoly. Econometrica 69, pp.1673-1683. Sah, R.K., Stiglitz, J.E. (1986). The Architecture of economic systems: hierarchies and polyarchies. Amer. Econ. Rev. 76, pp.716-727. Sgroi, D. (2002). Optimizing information in the herd: guinea pigs, profits and welfare. Games Econ. Behav. 39, pp.137-166. Smith, L., Sorensen, P. (2000). Pathological outcomes of observational learning. Econometrica 68, pp.371-398. Taylor, C.R. (1999). Time-on-the-market as a sign of quality. Rev. Econ. Stud. 66, pp.555-578. |
| URI: | http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/44 |
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