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Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections : a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data

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Bracco, Emanuele, Porcelli, Francesco and Redoano, Michela (2011) Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections : a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data. In: Crisi Economica, Welfare e Crescita, Palazzo Centrale dell'Università, Pavia, 19-20 Sep 2011 (Unpublished)

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Official URL: http://www-3.unipv.it/websiep/2011/201157.pdf

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Abstract

This paper provides a simple model to explaining the political and economics interdependence between di¤erent level of governments. We derive precise predictions that the probability that an incumbent being re-elected depends on her political alignement with an upper level of governments, moreover we study the link between alinement and the size of the local public sector. We test these predictions using a new dataset on Italian, central, regional and local elections and public finance.

Item Type: Conference Item (Paper)
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
J Political Science > JN Political institutions (Europe)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Official Date: 20 September 2011
Dates:
DateEvent
20 September 2011Completion
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Unpublished
Version or Related Resource: Bracco, Emanuele, Redoano, Michela and Porcelli, Francesco. (2012) Incumbent effects and partisan alignment in local elections : a regression discontinuity analysis using Italian data. Working Paper. Coventry, UK: Department of Economics, University of Warwick. (CAGE Online Working Paper Series, No.87/2012). http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/57796
Conference Paper Type: Paper
Title of Event: Crisi Economica, Welfare e Crescita
Type of Event: Conference
Location of Event: Palazzo Centrale dell'Università, Pavia
Date(s) of Event: 19-20 Sep 2011
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