Persistence of political partisanship : evidence from 9/11
Mukand, Sharun W. and Kaplan, Ethan (2011) Persistence of political partisanship : evidence from 9/11. Working Paper. Coventry, UK: Department of Economics, University of Warwick. CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Volume 2011 (Number 43).
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This paper empirically examines whether the act of deciding to support a political party can impact partisan leanings years later. We use the discontinuity in the probability of being registered to vote around the 18th birthday to look at the impact of registration after the 9/11/01 attacks on party of registration. We first show that 9/11 increased Republican registration by approximately 2%. Surprisingly, these di¤erences in registration patterns fully persist over the two year period from 2006 to 2008, even for a group of registrants who moved and changed their registration address. We find full persistence for those registered in zip codes within two miles of a four year university, suggesting that persistence is unlikely to be explained by lack of easy access to or inability to process information. Instead, we suggest an interpretation of our findings based upon either cognitive or social biases.
|Item Type:||Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)|
|Subjects:||J Political Science > JC Political theory
Q Science > QA Mathematics
|Divisions:||Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics|
|Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):||Political parties -- United States, Party affiliation -- United States, Political science -- Mathematical models, Republican Party (U.S. : 1854- ), September 11 Terrorist Attacks, 2001 -- Influence|
|Series Name:||CAGE Online Working Paper Series|
|Publisher:||Department of Economics, University of Warwick|
|Place of Publication:||Coventry, UK|
|Official Date:||May 2011|
|Number of Pages:||55|
|Status:||Not Peer Reviewed|
|Access rights to Published version:||Open Access|
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