Comment on David Sanders et al., 'Simulating the effects of the alternative vote in the 2010 UK General Election'
Hugh-Jones, David (2011) Comment on David Sanders et al., 'Simulating the effects of the alternative vote in the 2010 UK General Election'. Parliamentary Affairs, Vol.64 (No.4). pp. 763-766. ISSN 0031-2290Full text not available from this repository.
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/pa/gsr021
Sanders, Clarke, Stewart and Whiteley (2011) simulate the 2010 election under the Alternative Vote (AV). Their results show large gains for the Liberal Democrats. I alter their methodology to make the estimation of voters' first preferences under AV more accurate. With this change, the Liberal Democrats gains are considerably smaller, on the order of 10 seats or less. Bootstrap estimation shows that a Lib-Lab majority coalition would probably not have been feasible under AV.
|Item Type:||Journal Item|
|Subjects:||J Political Science > JC Political theory|
|Divisions:||Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics|
|Journal or Publication Title:||Parliamentary Affairs|
|Publisher:||Oxford University Press|
|Official Date:||October 2011|
|Number of Pages:||4|
|Page Range:||pp. 763-766|
|Status:||Not Peer Reviewed|
|Access rights to Published version:||Restricted or Subscription Access|
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