Hugh-Jones, David (2011) Comment on David Sanders et al., 'Simulating the effects of the alternative vote in the 2010 UK General Election'. Parliamentary Affairs, Vol.64 (No.4). pp. 763-766. ISSN 0031-2290

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Abstract

Sanders, Clarke, Stewart and Whiteley (2011) simulate the 2010 election under the Alternative Vote (AV). Their results show large gains for the Liberal Democrats. I alter their methodology to make the estimation of voters' first preferences under AV more accurate. With this change, the Liberal Democrats gains are considerably smaller, on the order of 10 seats or less. Bootstrap estimation shows that a Lib-Lab majority coalition would probably not have been feasible under AV.

Item Type:	Journal Item
Subjects:	J Political Science > JC Political theory
Divisions:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Journal or Publication Title:	Parliamentary Affairs
Publisher:	Oxford University Press
ISSN:	0031-2290
Date:	October 2011
Volume:	Vol.64
Number:	No.4
Number of Pages:	4
Page Range:	pp. 763-766
Identification Number:	10.1093/pa/gsr021
Status:	Not Peer Reviewed
Publication Status:	Published
Access rights to Published version:	Restricted or Subscription Access
URI:	http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/45574

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