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Incidence-based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK : coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life-tables
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Khoman, Ehsan, Mitchell, James and Weale, Martin (2008) Incidence-based estimates of life expectancy of the healthy for the UK : coherence between transition probabilities and aggregate life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), Vol.171 (No.1). pp. 203-222. doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00497.x ISSN 0964-1998.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00497.x
Abstract
Will the UK's aging population be fit and independent, or suffer from greater chronic ill health? Life expectancy of healthy people represents the expected number of years of healthy well-being that a life-table cohort would experience if age-specific rates of mortality and disability prevailed throughout the cohort's lifetime. Robust estimation of this life expectancy is thus essential for examining whether additional years of life are spent in good health and whether life expectancy is increasing faster than the decline of rates of disability. The paper examines a means of generating estimates of life expectancy for people who are healthy and unhealthy for the UK that are consistent with exogenous population mortality data. The method takes population transition matrices and adjusts these in a statistically coherent way so as to render them consistent with aggregate life-tables.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||
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Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School | ||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) | ||||
Publisher: | Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd. | ||||
ISSN: | 0964-1998 | ||||
Official Date: | 2008 | ||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | Vol.171 | ||||
Number: | No.1 | ||||
Page Range: | pp. 203-222 | ||||
DOI: | 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2007.00497.x | ||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access |
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