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Controlling infectious disease outbreaks : lessons from mathematical modelling
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Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre (2009) Controlling infectious disease outbreaks : lessons from mathematical modelling. Journal of Public Health Policy, Vol.30 (No.3). pp. 328-341. doi:10.1057/jphp.2009.13 ISSN 0197-5897.
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WRAP_Hollingsworth Modelling Outbreaks J Pub Health Policy 2009 post print.pdf - Accepted Version Download (1538Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jphp.2009.13
Abstract
Epidemiological analysis and mathematical models are now essential tools in understanding the dynamics of infectious diseases and in designing public health strategies to contain them. They have provided fundamental concepts, such as the basic and effective reproduction number, generation times, epidemic growth rates, and the role of pre-symptomatic infectiousness, which are crucial in characterising infectious diseases. These concepts are outlined and their relevance in designing control policies for outbreaks is discussed. They are illustrated using examples from the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak, which was brought under control within a year, and from pandemic influenza planning, where mathematical models have been used extensively.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||
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| Subjects: | R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine | ||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Life Sciences (2010- ) Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Mathematics |
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| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Communicable diseases -- Epidemiology -- Mathematical models, Communicable diseases -- Epidemiology | ||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Public Health Policy | ||||
| Publisher: | Palgrave Macmillan | ||||
| ISSN: | 0197-5897 | ||||
| Official Date: | 2009 | ||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | Vol.30 | ||||
| Number: | No.3 | ||||
| Page Range: | pp. 328-341 | ||||
| DOI: | 10.1057/jphp.2009.13 | ||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 23 December 2015 | ||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 23 December 2015 |
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