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Causal analysis with chain event graphs

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Smith, J. Q., 1953-, Riccomagno, Eva and Thwaites, Peter (2010) Causal analysis with chain event graphs. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick. Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology. (Working papers, Vol.2009).

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Abstract

As the Chain Event Graph (CEG) has a topology which represents sets of conditional independence statements, it becomes especially useful when problems lie naturally in a discrete asymmetric non-product space domain, or when much context-specific information is present. In this paper we show that it can also be a powerful representational tool for a wide variety of causal hypotheses in such domains. Furthermore, we demonstrate that, as with Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs), the identifiability of the effects of causal manipulations when observations of the system are incomplete can be verified simply by reference to the topology of the CEG. We close the paper with a proof of a Back Door Theorem for CEGs, analogous to Pearl's Back Door Theorem for CBNs.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: Faculty of Science > Statistics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Graphical modeling (Statistics), Bayesian statistical decision theory
Series Name: Working papers
Journal or Publication Title: ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Publisher: University of Warwick. Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology
Place of Publication: Coventry
ISSN: 0004-3702
Date: August 2010
Volume: Vol.2009
Number: No.8
Number of Pages: 37
Page Range: pp. 889-909
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
Funder: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
Grant number: EP/F036752/1 (EPSRC)
URI: http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/5532

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