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Prospective dynamic assessment of risk of sexual reoffending in individuals with an intellectual disability and a history of sexual offending behaviour
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Lofthouse, Rachael E., Lindsay, William R., Totsika, Vasiliki, Hastings, Richard P., Boer, Douglas P. and Haaven, James L. (2013) Prospective dynamic assessment of risk of sexual reoffending in individuals with an intellectual disability and a history of sexual offending behaviour. Journal of applied research in intellectual disabilities, Volume 26 (Number 5). pp. 394-403. doi:10.1111/jar.12029
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jar.12029
Abstract
Background: The purpose of the present study was to add to the literature on the predictive accuracy of a dynamic intellectual disability specific risk assessment tool.
Method: A dynamic risk assessment for sexual reoffending (ARMIDILO-S), a static risk assessment for sexual offending (STATIC-99), and a static risk assessment for violence (Violence Risk Appraisal Guide [VRAG]) were completed for a sample of 64 adult males with an intellectual disability.
Results: The dynamic risk assessment for sexual offenders with an intellectual disability resulted in the best prediction of sexual reoffending (ARMIDILO-S area under the curve (AUC) = 0.92) this was better than an established sexual offending static risk assessment (STATIC-99 AUC = 0.75). A static tool for violent reoffending, did not perform as well in this group (VRAG AUC = 0.58).
Conclusions: Results suggest that dynamic variables are useful in predicting sexual reoffending with individuals with an intellectual disability, confirming previous findings. The ARMIDILO-S is a promising dynamic risk assessment for individuals with an intellectual disability.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Centre for Educational Development, Appraisal and Research (CEDAR) | ||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of applied research in intellectual disabilities | ||||
| Publisher: | Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd. | ||||
| ISSN: | 1468-3148 | ||||
| Official Date: | September 2013 | ||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | Volume 26 | ||||
| Number: | Number 5 | ||||
| Page Range: | pp. 394-403 | ||||
| DOI: | 10.1111/jar.12029 | ||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access |
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