House, Thomas A. (2014) Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks. eLife, Volume 3 . doi:10.7554/eLife.03908

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Abstract

Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. Here, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks, and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	Q Science > QH Natural history > QH301 Biology Q Science > QR Microbiology Q Science > QR Microbiology > QR180 Immunology R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine R Medicine > RC Internal medicine
Divisions:	Faculty of Science > Mathematics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Ebola virus disease, Ebola virus disease -- Transmission -- Mathematical models, Ebola virus disease -- Epidemiology , Ebola virus disease -- Forecasting, Public health surveillance, Communicable diseases, Epidemics -- Mathematical models, Biomathematics
Journal or Publication Title:	eLife
Publisher:	eLife Sciences Publications Ltd.
ISSN:	2050-084X
Official Date:	12 September 2014
Dates:	Date Event 12 September 2014 Published 11 September 2014 Accepted 6 July 2014 Submitted
Volume:	Volume 3
DOI:	10.7554/eLife.03908
Status:	Peer Reviewed
Publication Status:	Published
Access rights to Published version:	Open Access
Funder:	Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)

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