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Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks
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House, Thomas A. (2014) Epidemiological dynamics of Ebola outbreaks. eLife, Volume 3 . doi:10.7554/eLife.03908 ISSN 2050-084X.
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WRAP_House_eLife.03908.full.pdf - Published Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (375Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.03908
Abstract
Ebola is a deadly virus that causes frequent disease outbreaks in the human population. Here, we analyse its rate of new introductions, case fatality ratio, and potential to spread from person to person. The analysis is performed for all completed outbreaks, and for a scenario where these are augmented by a more severe outbreak of several thousand cases. The results show a fast rate of new outbreaks, a high case fatality ratio, and an effective reproductive ratio of just less than 1.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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| Subjects: | Q Science > QH Natural history > QH301 Biology Q Science > QR Microbiology Q Science > QR Microbiology > QR180 Immunology R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine > RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine R Medicine > RC Internal medicine |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Mathematics | ||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Ebola virus disease, Ebola virus disease -- Transmission -- Mathematical models, Ebola virus disease -- Epidemiology , Ebola virus disease -- Forecasting, Public health surveillance, Communicable diseases, Epidemics -- Mathematical models, Biomathematics | ||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | eLife | ||||||||
| Publisher: | eLife Sciences Publications Ltd. | ||||||||
| ISSN: | 2050-084X | ||||||||
| Official Date: | 12 September 2014 | ||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | Volume 3 | ||||||||
| DOI: | 10.7554/eLife.03908 | ||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 28 July 2016 | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 28 July 2016 | ||||||||
| Funder: | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) |
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