Bove, Vincenzo, Gleditsch, Kristian Skrede and Sekeris, Petros G. (2016) "Oil above water" : economic interdependence and third-party intervention. Journal of Conflict Resolution , 60 (7). pp. 1251-1277. doi:10.1177/0022002714567952

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Abstract

We explore economic incentives for third parties to intervene in ongoing internal wars. We develop a three-party model of the decision to intervene in conflict that highlights the role of the economic benefits accruing from the intervention and the potential costs. We present novel empirical results on the role of oil in motivating third-party military intervention. We find that the likelihood of a third-party intervention increases when (a) the country at war has large reserves of oil, (b) the relative competition in the sector is limited, and (c) the potential intervener has a higher demand for oil.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	J Political Science > JZ International relations
Divisions:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Humanitarian intervention
Journal or Publication Title:	Journal of Conflict Resolution
Publisher:	Sage Publications Ltd.
ISSN:	0022-0027
Official Date:	1 October 2016
Dates:	Date Event 1 October 2016 Published 27 January 2015 Available 27 January 2015 Accepted
Volume:	60
Number:	7
Number of Pages:	27
Page Range:	pp. 1251-1277
DOI:	10.1177/0022002714567952
Status:	Peer Reviewed
Publication Status:	Published
Access rights to Published version:	Restricted or Subscription Access
Description:
Funder:	European Research Council (ERC)
Grant number:	313373 (ERC)

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