UNSPECIFIED. (2005) Models of foot-and-mouth disease. PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, 272 (1569). pp. 1195-1202. ISSN 0962-8452

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Abstract

During the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in the UK, three very different models were used in an attempt to predict the disease dynamics and inform control measures. This was one of the first times that models had been used during an epidemic to support the decision-making process. It is probable that models will play a pivotal role in any future livestock epidemics, and it is therefore important that decision makers, veterinarians and farmers understand the uses and limitations of models. This review describes the utility of models in general before focusing on the three foot-and-mouth disease models used in 2001. Finally, the future of modelling is discussed, analysing the advances needed if models are to be successfully applied during any subsequent epidemics.

Item Type:	Journal Article
Subjects:	Q Science > QH Natural history > QH301 Biology
Journal or Publication Title:	PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES
Publisher:	ROYAL SOCIETY
ISSN:	0962-8452
Date:	22 June 2005
Volume:	272
Number:	1569
Number of Pages:	8
Page Range:	pp. 1195-1202
Identification Number:	10.1098/rspb.2004.3046
Publication Status:	Published
URI:	http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/6811

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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