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Craft and technician skill shortages in engineering

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Green, Anne E. (1990) Craft and technician skill shortages in engineering. International Journal of Manpower, Volume 11 (Number 2). pp. 18-22. doi:10.1108/EUM0000000000870 ISSN 0143-7720.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/EUM0000000000870

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Abstract

The occupational profile of the engineering industry has changed radically in recent years. Employment of craftsmen has declined in absolute and relative terms and is projected to continue to decrease in future. Technicians have increased in relative significance and their employment is forecast to remain stable. Trainees are crucial to the future supply of qualified personnel, but the cutback in trainees has outstripped the rate of employment loss. Time‐series models reveal that the length of the adjustment process which brings supply and demand back into balance given a shock to the system is approximately four years, consistent with the lags in training. Trends in manpower balances indicate that current net loss rates from stocks will have to be reduced if supply is to meet demand in the short and medium term. Hence the way in which skills shortages can and do occur in declining occupations is illustrated.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor
H Social Sciences > HF Commerce
T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Institute for Employment Research
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Engineers--Recruiting--Great Britain, Engineering personnel--Recruiting--Great Britain, Manpower planning--Great Britain
Journal or Publication Title: International Journal of Manpower
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing Limited
ISSN: 0143-7720
Official Date: 1990
Dates:
DateEvent
1990Published
Volume: Volume 11
Number: Number 2
Number of Pages: 5
Page Range: pp. 18-22
DOI: 10.1108/EUM0000000000870
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access

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