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Improving prediction from Dirichlet process mixtures via enrichment

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Wade, Sara, Dunson, D., Petrone, S. and Trippa, L. (2014) Improving prediction from Dirichlet process mixtures via enrichment. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 15 . pp. 1041-1071.

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Official URL: http://www.jmlr.org/papers/v15/wade14a.html

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Abstract

Flexible covariate-dependent density estimation can be achieved by modelling the joint density of the response and covariates as a Dirichlet process mixture. An appealing aspect of this approach is that computations are relatively easy. In this paper, we examine the predictive performance of these models with an increasing number of covariates. Even for a moderate number of covariates, we find that the likelihood for x tends to dominate the posterior of the latent random partition, degrading the predictive performance of the model. To overcome this, we suggest using a different nonparametric prior, namely an enriched Dirichlet process. Our proposal maintains a simple allocation rule, so that computations remain relatively simple. Advantages are shown through both predictive equations and examples, including an application to diagnosis Alzheimer’s disease.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: R Medicine > RC Internal medicine
Divisions: Faculty of Science > Statistics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Alzheimer's disease -- Diagnosis -- Mathematical models
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Machine Learning Research
Publisher: M I T Press
ISSN: 1532-4435
Official Date: 1 March 2014
Dates:
DateEvent
1 March 2014Published
1 November 2013Accepted
Volume: 15
Page Range: pp. 1041-1071
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
U01 AG024904 National Institutes of Healthhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000002
Open Access Version:
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