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Overall similarity and consistency assessment scores are not sufficiently accurate for predicting discrepancy between direct and indirect comparison estimates

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Xiong, Tengbin, Parekh-Bhurke, Sheetal, Loke, Yoon K., Abdelhamid, Asmaa, Sutton, A. J., Eastwood, Alison J., Holland, Richard, Chen, Y-F.‏‎, Walsh, Tanya, Glenny, Anne-Marie and Song, Fujian (2013) Overall similarity and consistency assessment scores are not sufficiently accurate for predicting discrepancy between direct and indirect comparison estimates. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 66 (2). pp. 184-191. doi:10.1016/j.jclinepi.2012.06.022 ISSN 0895-4356.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2012.06.022

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Abstract

Objectives:
Indirect comparison methods have been increasingly used to assess the effectiveness of different interventions comparatively. This study evaluated a Trial Similarity and Evidence Consistency Assessment (TSECA) framework for assessing key assumptions underlying the validity of indirect comparisons.

Study design and setting:
We applied the TSECA framework to 94 Cochrane Systematic Reviews that provided data to compare two interventions by both direct and indirect comparisons. Using the TSECA framework, two reviewers independently assessed and scored trial similarity and evidence consistency. A detailed case study provided further insight into the usefulness and limitations of the framework proposed.

Results:
Trial similarity and evidence consistency scores obtained using the assessment framework were not associated with statistically significant inconsistency between direct and indirect estimates. The case study illustrated that the assessment framework could be used to identify potentially important differences in participants, interventions, and outcome measures between different sets of trials in the indirect comparison.

Conclusion:
Although the overall trial similarity and evidence consistency scores are unlikely to be sufficiently accurate for predicting inconsistency between direct and indirect estimates, the assessment framework proposed in this study can be a useful tool for identifying between-trial differences that may threaten the validity of indirect treatment comparisons

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Medicine > Warwick Medical School > Health Sciences > Population, Evidence & Technologies (PET)
Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Medicine > Warwick Medical School
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Clinical trials
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
Publisher: Elsevier Inc.
ISSN: 0895-4356
Official Date: February 2013
Dates:
DateEvent
February 2013Published
20 June 2012Accepted
Volume: 66
Number: 2
Number of Pages: 8
Page Range: pp. 184-191
DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2012.06.022
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)
Funder: Medical Research Council (Great Britain) (MRC)
Grant number: G0701607 (MRC)

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