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A cross-disciplinary approach to modelling and expressing adversity
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Bryant, Ian, Maple, Carsten and Watson, Tim (2016) A cross-disciplinary approach to modelling and expressing adversity. In: 15th European Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security (ECCWS), Munich, Germany, 7-8 Jul 2016. Published in: Eccws 2016 - Proceedings of the 15th European Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security pp. 42-51. ISBN 9781910810934.
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Official URL: http://www.academic-conferences.org/conferences/ec...
Abstract
There is a significant, unmet requirement for risk and hazard (jointly referred to as adversities) enumeration
methods that are applicable across currently stovepiped domains, replicable and scalable in approach. This paper considers
the issues relating to replicable and scalable methods for the enumeration of adversities, and proposes a method that
provides an understanding of all categories of risk, not only those arising from the actions of cyber antagonists, but also from
factors such as natural disasters. The method provides an approach to modelling adversity in a way that combines differing
types of adversity, an absolute scale for the enumeration of adversity impact, a summary statistic model and plot that reflect
the probabilistic nature of adversities, and the Annualised Expectation of Risk (AER) as a way to facilitate common
interpretation of adversities across and within differing communities of interest.
Item Type: | Conference Item (Paper) | ||||
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Alternative Title: | |||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Engineering > WMG (Formerly the Warwick Manufacturing Group) | ||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Eccws 2016 - Proceedings of the 15th European Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security | ||||
Publisher: | ACPIL | ||||
ISBN: | 9781910810934 | ||||
Official Date: | 16 April 2016 | ||||
Dates: |
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Page Range: | pp. 42-51 | ||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||
Conference Paper Type: | Paper | ||||
Title of Event: | 15th European Conference on Cyber Warfare and Security (ECCWS) | ||||
Type of Event: | Conference | ||||
Location of Event: | Munich, Germany | ||||
Date(s) of Event: | 7-8 Jul 2016 |
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