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On the heterogenous consequences of civil war
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Bove, Vincenzo, Elia, Leandro and Smith, Ron P. (2017) On the heterogenous consequences of civil war. Oxford Economic Papers, 69 (3). pp. 550-568.
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WRAP_Bove Elia Smith OEP.pdf - Accepted Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Download (647Kb) |
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpw050
Abstract
We show how the occurrence of a civil war has heterogeneous effects on the level of GDP, using case-study, synthetic control and large-N panel-data approaches. We first discuss the relation between these methods and then provide lower and upper estimates of the economic effect of civil war. Although, on average, the incidence of internal conflicts has a negative effect on the GDP level, it is very often insignificant. More importantly, however, both methods display a wide variety of individual effects, and in a large number of countries civil war has either no effect or a positive and significant impact on the prospect for economic growth.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor J Political Science > JC Political theory |
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Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies | ||||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Civil war -- Economic aspects, Economic development -- Africa -- Case studies, Economic development -- Asia -- Case studies | ||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Oxford Economic Papers | ||||||||
Publisher: | Oxford University Press | ||||||||
ISSN: | 0030-7653 | ||||||||
Official Date: | 1 July 2017 | ||||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 69 | ||||||||
Number: | 3 | ||||||||
Page Range: | pp. 550-568 | ||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
Funder: | European Commission (EC) |
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