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Spatially-intensive decision tree prediction of traffic flow across the entire UK road network
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Crosby, Henry James, Jarvis, Stephen A. and Davis, Paul (2016) Spatially-intensive decision tree prediction of traffic flow across the entire UK road network. In: ACM/IEEE (DSRT) The 20th IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Distributed Simulation and Real Time Applications, London, UK, 21-23 Sep 2016. Published in: 2016 IEEE/ACM 20th International Symposium on Distributed Simulation and Real Time Applications (DS-RT) ISBN 9781509035052. ISSN 1550-6525.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/DS-RT.2016.19
Abstract
This paper introduces a novel approach to predicting
UK-wide daily traffic counts on all roads in England and
Wales, irrespective of sensor data availability. A key finding of
this research is that many roads in a network may have no
local connection, but may still share some common law, and this
fact can be exploited to improve simulation. In this paper we
show that: (1) Traffic counts are a function of dependant spatial,
temporal and neighbourhood variables; (2) Large open-source
data, such as school location and public transport hubs can,
with appropriate GIS and machine learning, assist the prediction
of traffic counts; (3) Real-time simulation can be scaled-up to
large networks with the aid of machine learning and, (4) Such
techniques can be employed in real-world tools. Validation of the
proposed approach demonstrates an 88.2% prediction accuracy
on traffic counts across the UK.
Item Type: | Conference Item (Paper) | ||||||
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Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics | ||||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Computer Science | ||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Traffic flow -- Mathematical models -- Great Britain, Decision trees | ||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | 2016 IEEE/ACM 20th International Symposium on Distributed Simulation and Real Time Applications (DS-RT) | ||||||
Publisher: | ACM/IEEE | ||||||
ISBN: | 9781509035052 | ||||||
ISSN: | 1550-6525 | ||||||
Official Date: | 19 December 2016 | ||||||
Dates: |
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Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 4 November 2016 | ||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 18 May 2017 | ||||||
Funder: | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC), University of Warwick. Institute for the science of cities | ||||||
Conference Paper Type: | Paper | ||||||
Title of Event: | ACM/IEEE (DSRT) The 20th IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Distributed Simulation and Real Time Applications | ||||||
Type of Event: | Conference | ||||||
Location of Event: | London, UK | ||||||
Date(s) of Event: | 21-23 Sep 2016 | ||||||
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