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Effects of in-class variation and student rank on the probability of withdrawal : cross-section and time-series analysis for UK university students
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Arulampalam, Wiji, Naylor, Robin Andrew, 1959- and Smith, Jeremy (Jeremy P.) (2002) Effects of in-class variation and student rank on the probability of withdrawal : cross-section and time-series analysis for UK university students. Discussion Paper. Bonn: Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit. (Discussion paper (Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit).
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Abstract
From individual-level data for nine entire cohorts of undergraduate students in UK universities, we estimate the probability that an individual will drop out of university during their first-year. We examine the 1984-85 to 1992-93 cohorts of students enrolling full-time for a three or four-year course, and focus on the sensitivity of the probability of withdrawal to the individual’s prior qualifications relative to those of the other students in their university course. We show not only that weaker students are more likely to withdraw but also that the extent of variation in prior qualifications within the student’s university degree course exerts an influence on the individual's probability of withdrawal in a way that varies with the individual’s own in-class rank.
| Item Type: | Working or Discussion Paper (Discussion Paper) |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | L Education > LC Special aspects of education > LC5201 Education extension. Adult education. Continuing education |
| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics |
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | College dropouts -- Great Britain, Medical students -- Great Britain |
| Series Name: | Discussion paper (Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit) |
| Publisher: | Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit |
| Place of Publication: | Bonn |
| Date: | November 2002 |
| Number: | No.655 |
| Number of Pages: | 37 |
| Status: | Not Peer Reviewed |
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access |
| Adapted As: | |
| Version or Related Resource: | Arulampalam, W., Nayor, R.A. and Smith, J. (2002). Effects of in-class variation and student rank on the probability of withdrawal: cross-section and time-series analysis for UK university students. Economics of Education Review, 24, pp.251-262. |
| Related URLs: | |
| References: | Arulampalam, W., Naylor, R. and Smith, J. (2001). A hazard model of the probability of medical school dropout in the UK. Warwick Economic Research Papers no. 597. Dearing, R. (1997). Higher education in the learning society. National Committee of Enquiry into Higher Education, HMSO, London. Fielding, A., Belfield, C. and Thomas, H. (1998). The consequences of drop-outs on the cost-effectiveness of 16-19 colleges. Oxford Review of Education, 24(4), pp.487-511. Gomulka, J. and Stern, N. (1990). The employment of married women in the United Kingdom 1970-1983. Economica, 57(226), pp.171-200. HEFCE, (1999). Performance indicators in higher education in the UK. Report 99/66, HEFCE, Bristol. Johnes, G. and McNabb, R. (2001). Never give up on the good times: student attrition in the UK. Mimeo. Johnes, J. and Taylor, J. (1989). Undergraduate non-completion rates: differences between UK universities. Higher Education, 18, pp.209-225. Johnes, J. and Taylor, J., (1990). Performance indicators in higher education. Oxford: SRHE/OUP. Light, A. and Strayer, W., (2000). Determinants of college completion: school quality or student ability? Journal of Human Resources, 35, pp.299-332. Oaxaca, R. (1973). Male-female wage differentials in urban labour markets. International Economic Review, 14, pp.693-709. Smith, J., McKnight, A. and Naylor, R. (2000). Graduate employability: policy and performance in higher education in the UK. Economic Journal, 110, pp.F382- 411. Smith, J. and Naylor, R. (2001a). Dropping out of university: a statistical analysis of the probability of withdrawal for UK university students. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 164, pp.389-405. Smith, J. and Naylor, R. (2001b). Determinants of degree performance in UK universities: a statistical analysis of the 1993 student cohort. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 63, pp.29-60. Tinto, V. (1975). Dropout from higher education: a theoretical synthesis of recent research. Review of Educational Research, 45, pp.89-125. Tinto, V. (1987). Leaving college: rethinking the causes and cures of student attrition. Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Tinto, V. (1988). Stages of student departure: reflections on the longitudinal character of student leaving. Journal of Higher Education, 59, pp.438-455. Tinto, V. (1997). Classrooms as communities: exploring the educational character of student persistence. Journal of Higher Education, 68, pp.599-623. |
| URI: | http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/87 |
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