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Can regime-switching models reproduce the business cycle features of US aggregate consumption, investment and output?
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UNSPECIFIED. (2004) Can regime-switching models reproduce the business cycle features of US aggregate consumption, investment and output? INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS, 9 (1). pp. 1-14. ISSN 1076-9307
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.231
Abstract
The ability of Markov-switching (MS) autoregressive models to replicate selected classical business cycle features found in US post-war consumption, investment and output is compared to that of linear models. Univariate MS models appear to offer more dynamically parsimonious representations, but generally are unable to reproduce features missed by linear models. In the multivariate models, some cointegration restrictions were found to have a crucial impact, and the ability of models that imposed cointegration to reproduce business cycle features was enhanced by Markov switching. Copyright (C) 2004 John Wiley Sons, Ltd.
| Item Type: | Journal Article |
|---|---|
| Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HG Finance |
| Journal or Publication Title: | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS |
| Publisher: | JOHN WILEY & SONS LTD |
| ISSN: | 1076-9307 |
| Date: | January 2004 |
| Volume: | 9 |
| Number: | 1 |
| Number of Pages: | 14 |
| Page Range: | pp. 1-14 |
| Identification Number: | 10.1002/ijfe.231 |
| Publication Status: | Published |
| URI: | http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/8796 |
Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge
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