The Library
Health professionals prefer to communicate risk-related numerical information using “1-in-X” ratios
Tools
Sirota, Miroslav, Juanchich, Marie, Petrova, Dafina, Garcia-Retamero, Rocio, Walasek, Lukasz and Bhatia, Sudeep (2018) Health professionals prefer to communicate risk-related numerical information using “1-in-X” ratios. Medical Decision Making, 38 (3). pp. 366-376. ISSN 0272-989X.
|
PDF
WRAP-health-professionals-communicate-numerical-Walasek-2017.pdf - Accepted Version - Requires a PDF viewer. Download (1461Kb) | Preview |
Official URL: http://journals.sagepub.com/home/mdm
Abstract
Previous research showed that format effects such as the “1-in-X” effect – whereby “1-in-X” ratios lead to a higher perceived probability than “N-in-N*X” ratios – alter perceptions of medical probabilities. We do not know, however, how prevalent this effect is in practice – whether health professionals often use “1-in-X” ratios. We assembled four different sources of evidence, involving experimental work and corpus studies, to examine the use of “1-in-X” and other numerical formats quantifying probability. Our results revealed that the use of “1-in-X”
ratios is prevalent and that health professionals prefer this format compared with other numerical formats (i.e., the “N-in-N*X”, %, and decimal formats). In Study 1, UK family physicians preferred to communicate prenatal risk using a “1-in-X” ratio (80.4%, n = 131) across different risk levels and regardless of patients’ numeracy levels. In Study 2, a sample from the UK adult population (n = 203), reported that most GPs (60.6%) preferred to use “1-in-X” ratios compared
with other formats. In Study 3, “1-in-X” ratios were the most commonly used format in a set of randomly sampled drug leaflets describing the risk of side effects (100%, n = 94). In Study 4, the “1-in-X” format was the most commonly used numerical expression of medical probabilities or
frequencies on the UK’s NHS website (45.7%, n = 2,469 sentences). The prevalent use of “1-in- X” ratios magnifies the chances of increased subjective probability. Further research should establish clinical significance of the “1-in-X” effect.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Subjects: | B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BF Psychology | ||||||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Psychology | ||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Medical Decision Making | ||||||||
Publisher: | Sage Publications, Inc. | ||||||||
ISSN: | 0272-989X | ||||||||
Official Date: | 1 April 2018 | ||||||||
Dates: |
|
||||||||
Volume: | 38 | ||||||||
Number: | 3 | ||||||||
Page Range: | pp. 366-376 | ||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 6 September 2017 | ||||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 6 September 2017 |
Request changes or add full text files to a record
Repository staff actions (login required)
View Item |
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year