UNSPECIFIED (2003) Planning for smallpox outbreaks. Nature, 425 (6959). pp. 681-685. ISSN 0028-0836

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Abstract

Mathematical models of viral transmission and control are important tools for assessing the threat posed by deliberate release of the smallpox virus and the best means of containing an outbreak. Models must balance biological realism against limitations of knowledge, and uncertainties need to be accurately communicated to policy-makers. Smallpox poses the particular challenge that key biological, social and spatial factors affecting disease spread in contemporary populations must be elucidated largely from historical studies undertaken before disease eradication in 1979. We review the use of models in smallpox planning within the broader epidemiological context set by recent outbreaks of both novel and re-emerging pathogens.

Item Type:	Journal Item
Subjects:	Q Science
Journal or Publication Title:	Nature
Publisher:	NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
ISSN:	0028-0836
Date:	16 October 2003
Volume:	425
Number:	6959
Number of Pages:	5
Page Range:	pp. 681-685
Identification Number:	10.1038/nature02007
Publication Status:	Published
URI:	http://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/id/eprint/9247

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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