Business cycle asymmetries: Characterization and testing based on Markov-switching autoregressions
UNSPECIFIED. (2003) Business cycle asymmetries: Characterization and testing based on Markov-switching autoregressions. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 21 (1). pp. 196-211. ISSN 0735-0015Full text not available from this repository.
Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1198/073500102288618892
Tests for business cycle asymmetries are developed for Markov-switching autoregressive models. The tests of deepness, steepness, and sharpness are Wald statistics, which have standard asymptotics. For the standard two-regime model of expansions and contractions, deepness is shown to imply sharpness (and vice versa), whereas the process is always nonsteep. Two and three-state models of U.S. GNP growth are used to illustrate the approach, along with models of U.S. investment and consumption growth. The robustness of the tests to model misspecification, and the effects of regime-dependent heteroscedasticity, are investigated.
|Item Type:||Journal Article|
|Subjects:||H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences
Q Science > QA Mathematics
|Journal or Publication Title:||JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS|
|Publisher:||AMER STATISTICAL ASSOC|
|Official Date:||January 2003|
|Number of Pages:||16|
|Page Range:||pp. 196-211|
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