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French, Simon and Argyris, N. (2018) Decision analysis and political processes. Decision Analysis, 15 (4). pp. 195-267. doi:10.1287/deca.2018.0374
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2018.0374
Abstract
Decision analysis has been with us for at least half a century. Over that time it has developed from a theoretical paradigm for individual rational choice to a practical tool for individuals, small groups and ‘unitary’ organisations, which helps them towards a sound decision-making mindful of the behavioural characteristics of individuals and group dynamics. Decision analysis has also shown its worth in the context of stakeholder engagement and public participation. The time is right for it to be more widely used in making societal decisions. However, to achieve that we need to realise that in many circumstances it will only be one input to the political process that leads to the actual decision. Recognising that suggests that our community of decision analysts needs to deconstruct our paradigm and attend more to communicating the result of the analysis in comparison with other inputs to the societal decision.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | |||||||||||||||
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| Subjects: | J Political Science > JA Political science (General) | |||||||||||||||
| Divisions: | Faculty of Science > Statistics | |||||||||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Political science, Bayesian statistical decision theory, Decision making | |||||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Decision Analysis | |||||||||||||||
| Publisher: | Informs | |||||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 1545-8490 | |||||||||||||||
| Official Date: | December 2018 | |||||||||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 15 | |||||||||||||||
| Number: | 4 | |||||||||||||||
| Page Range: | pp. 195-267 | |||||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1287/deca.2018.0374 | |||||||||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | |||||||||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | |||||||||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | |||||||||||||||
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