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Decision analysis and political processes

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French, Simon and Argyris, N. (2018) Decision analysis and political processes. Decision Analysis, 15 (4). pp. 195-267. doi:10.1287/deca.2018.0374 ISSN 1545-8490.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1287/deca.2018.0374

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Abstract

Decision analysis has been with us for at least half a century. Over that time it has developed from a theoretical paradigm for individual rational choice to a practical tool for individuals, small groups and ‘unitary’ organisations, which helps them towards a sound decision-making mindful of the behavioural characteristics of individuals and group dynamics. Decision analysis has also shown its worth in the context of stakeholder engagement and public participation. The time is right for it to be more widely used in making societal decisions. However, to achieve that we need to realise that in many circumstances it will only be one input to the political process that leads to the actual decision. Recognising that suggests that our community of decision analysts needs to deconstruct our paradigm and attend more to communicating the result of the analysis in comparison with other inputs to the societal decision.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JA Political science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Political science, Bayesian statistical decision theory, Decision making
Journal or Publication Title: Decision Analysis
Publisher: Informs
ISSN: 1545-8490
Official Date: December 2018
Dates:
DateEvent
December 2018Published
28 June 2018Available
11 February 2018Accepted
Volume: 15
Number: 4
Page Range: pp. 195-267
DOI: 10.1287/deca.2018.0374
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 13 March 2018
Date of first compliant Open Access: 26 September 2018
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant IDRIOXX Funder NameFunder ID
EP/F001444/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266
EP/K007580/1[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Councilhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000266
RES 24-25-0090 Research Councils UKhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000690
UNSPECIFIEDNuclear Decommissioning Authorityhttp://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100009477
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