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Guessing imagined and live chance events: adults behave like children with live events
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Robinson, Elizabeth J., Pendle, J. E. C., Rowley, M. G., Beck, S. R. and McColgan, Kerry L. (2009) Guessing imagined and live chance events: adults behave like children with live events. British Journal of Psychology, Vol.100 (No.4). pp. 645-659. doi:10.1348/000712608X386810 ISSN 0007-1269.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1348/000712608X386810
Abstract
An established finding is that adults prefer to guess before rather than after a chance event has happened. This is interpreted in terms of aversion to guessing when relatively incompetent: After throwing, the fall could be known. Adults (N=71, mean age 18;11, N=28, mean age 48;0) showed this preference with imagined die-throwing as in the published studies. With live die-throwing, children (N=64, aged 6 and 8 years; N=50, aged 5 and 6 years) and 15-year-olds (N=93, 46) showed the opposite preference, as did 17 adults. Seventeen-year-olds (N=82) were more likely to prefer to guess after throwing with live rather than imagined die-throwing. Reliance on imagined situations in the literature on decision-making under uncertainty ignores the possibility that adults imagine inaccurately how they would really feel: After a real die has been thrown, adults, like children, may feel there is less ambiguity about the outcome.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||
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Subjects: | B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BF Psychology | ||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Psychology | ||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Chance, Decision making, Decision making in children, Guessing games, Choice (Psychology), Choice (Psychology) in children | ||||
Journal or Publication Title: | British Journal of Psychology | ||||
Publisher: | The British Psychological Society | ||||
ISSN: | 0007-1269 | ||||
Official Date: | November 2009 | ||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | Vol.100 | ||||
Number: | No.4 | ||||
Page Range: | pp. 645-659 | ||||
DOI: | 10.1348/000712608X386810 | ||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||
Funder: | Economic and Social Research Council (Great Britain) (ESRC) | ||||
Grant number: | RES-062-23-0335 (ESRC) |
Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge
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