2021

Aliee, Maryam, Castaño, Soledad, Davis, Christopher N., Patel, Swati, Miaka, Erick Mwamba, Spencer, Simon E. F., Keeling, Matt J., Chitnis, Nakul and Rock, Kat S. (2021) Predicting the impact of COVID-19 interruptions on transmission of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis in two health zones of the Democratic Republic of Congo. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene . trab019. doi:10.1093/trstmh/trab019 (In Press)

Crump, Ronald E., Huang, Ching-I, Knock, Edward, Spencer, Simon E. F., Brown, Paul E., Mwamba Miaka, Erick, Shampa, Chansy, Keeling, Matthew James and Rock, Kat S. (2021) Quantifying epidemiological drivers of gambiense human African Trypanosomiasis across the Democratic Republic of Congo. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (1). e1008532. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008532

Mateen, Bilal A., Wilde, Harrison, Dennis, John M, Duncan, Andrew, Thomas, Nick, McGovern, Andrew, Denaxas, Spiros, Keeling, Matthew James and Vollmer, Sebastian (2021) Hospital bed capacity and usage across secondary healthcare providers in England during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic : a descriptive analysis. BMJ Open, 11 (1). e042945. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-042945

Keeling, Matt J., Hill, Edward M., Gorsich, Erin E., Penman, Bridget S., Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, Leng, Trystan, McKimm, Hector, Tamborrino, Massimiliano, Dyson, Louise and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK : short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (1). e1008619. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008619

Möhlmann, Tim W. R., Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno, Favia, Guido, Santman-Berends, Inge, Takken, Willem, Koenraadt, Constantianus J. M. and Brand, Samuel (2021) Biting midge dynamics and bluetongue transmission : a multiscale model linking catch data with climate and disease outbreaks. Scientific Reports, 11 (1). 1892. doi:10.1038/s41598-021-81096-9

Staniszewska, Sophie, Hill, Edward M., Grant, Richard, Grove, Peter, Porter, Jarina, Shiri, Tinevimbo, Tulip, Sue, Whitehurst, Jane, Wright, Claire, Datta, Samik, Petrou, Stavros and Keeling, Matthew James (2021) Developing a framework for public involvement in mathematical and economic modelling : bringing new dynamism to vaccination policy recommendations. The Patient - Patient-Centered Outcomes Research . doi:10.1007/s40271-020-00476-x (In Press)

2020

Aliee, Maryam, Rock, Kat S. and Keeling, Matthew James (2020) Estimating the distribution of time to extinction of infectious diseases in mean-field approaches. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 17 (173). 20200540. doi:10.1098/rsif.2020.0540

Hill, Edward M., Petrou, Stavros, Forster, Henry, de Lusignan, Simon, Yonova, Ivelina and Keeling, Matt J. (2020) Optimising age coverage of seasonal influenza vaccination in England : a mathematical and health economic evaluation. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (10). e1008278. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008278

Keeling, Matthew James, Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre and Read, Jonathan M. (2020) The efficacy of contact tracing for the containment of the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19). Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 74 . pp. 861-866. doi:10.1136/jech-2020-214051

Leng, Trystan and Keeling, Matthew James (2020) Improving pairwise approximations for network models with susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 500 . 110328. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110328

White, Connor, Pellis, Lorenzo, Keeling, Matthew James and Penman, Bridget S. (2020) Detecting HLA-infectious disease associations for multi-strain pathogens. Infection, Genetics and Evolution, 83 . 104344. doi:10.1016/j.meegid.2020.104344

(2020) Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 287 (1932). 20201405. doi:10.1098/rspb.2020.1405

Hilton, Joe and Keeling, Matt J. (2020) Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (7). e1008031. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008031

Kura, Klodeta, Collyer, Benjamin, Toor, Jaspreet, Truscott, James E., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Keeling, Matthew James and Anderson, Roy M. (2020) Policy implications of the potential use of a novel vaccine to prevent infection with Schistosoma mansoni with or without mass drug administration. Vaccine, 38 (28). pp. 4379-4386. doi:10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.04.078

Davis, Christopher, Rock, Kat S. and Keeling, Matthew James (2020) Human African trypanosomiasis : current status and eradication efforts. CAB Reviews, 15 (28). doi:10.1079/PAVSNNR202015028

Brand, Samuel, Munywoki, Patrick, Walumbe, David, Keeling, Matthew James and Nokes, D. James (2020) Reducing RSV hospitalisation in a lower-income country by vaccinating mothers-to-be and their households. eLife, 9 . e47003. doi:10.7554/eLife.47003

Castano, Maria Soledad, Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., Rock, Kat S., Palmer, Cody, Knock, Edward, Mwamba Miaka, Mwamba Miaka, Ndung'u, Joseph M., Torr, Steve, Verle, Paul , Spencer, Simon E. F., Galvani, Alison P., Bever, Caitlin and Keeling, Matthew James (2020) Assessing the impact of aggregating disease stage data in model predictions of human African trypanosomiasis transmission and control activities in Bandundu province (DRC). PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 14 (1). e0007976.

Tennant, Warren, Tildesley, Michael J., Spencer, Simon E. F. and Keeling, Matthew James (2020) Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898–1949. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 287 (1928). 20200538. doi:10.1098/rspb.2020.0538

Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J., Atkins, Benjamin D., Penman, Bridget S., Southall, Emma, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, McKimm, Hector, Gorsich, Erin E., Hill, Edward M. and Dyson, Louise (2020) The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences . (In Press)

2019

Castaño, Soledad, Aliee, Maryam, Miaka, Erick Mwamba, Keeling, Matthew James, Chitnis, Nakul and Rock, Kat S. (2019) Screening strategies for a sustainable endpoint for Gambiense sleeping sickness. Journal of Infectious Diseases . jiz588. doi:10.1093/infdis/jiz588 (In Press)

Meakin, Sophie R. and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) Correlations between stochastic endemic infection in multiple interacting subpopulations. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 483 . 109991. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.109991

Hill, Edward M., Petrou, Stavros, de Lusignan, Simon, Yonova, Ivelina and Keeling, Matt J. (2019) Seasonal influenza : modelling approaches to capture immunity propagation. PLoS Computational Biology, 15 (10). e1007096. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007096

Davis, Christopher N., Rock, Kat S., Mwamba Miaka, Erick and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) Village-scale persistence and elimination of gambiense human African trypanosomiasis. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 13 (10). e0007838. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0007838

Collyer, Benjamin S., Turner, Hugo C., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) Vaccination or mass drug administration against schistosomiasis : a hypothetical cost-effectiveness modelling comparison. Parasites & Vectors, 12 (1). 499. doi:10.1186/s13071-019-3749-4

NTD Modelling Consortium Discussion Group on Gambiense Human African Trypanosomiasis (Including: Rock, Kat S., Crump, Ronald E., Davis, Christopher, Soledad Castaño, María, Antillon, Marina, Huang, Ching-I, Aliee, Maryam, Tediosi, Fabrizio , Chitnis, Nakul and Keeling, Matt J.). (2019) Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed 2030 goal for gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT). Gates Open Research, 3 . 1553. doi:10.12688/gatesopenres.13070.1

Hilton, Joe and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) Incorporating household structure and demography into models of endemic disease. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 16 (157). 20190317. doi:10.1098/rsif.2019.0317

Tildesley, Michael J., Brand, Samuel, Brooks Pollock, E., Bradbury, Naomi, Werkman, Marleen and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) The role of movement restrictions in limiting the economic impact of livestock infections. Nature Sustainability, 2 . pp. 834-840. doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0356-5

Data, Samik, Pink, Joshua, Medley, Graham, Petrou, Stavros, Staniszewska, Sophie, Underwood, Martin, Sonnenberg, Pam and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) Assessing the cost-effectiveness of HPV vaccination strategies for adolescent girls and boys in the UK. BMC Infectious Diseases . (In Press)

Brand, Samuel, Munywoki, Patrick K., Walumbe, David, Keeling, Matthew James and Nokes, D. James (2019) Data for Reducing RSV hospitalisation in a lower-income country by vaccinating mothers-to-be and their households. [Dataset]

2018

Leng, Trystan and Keeling, Matthew James (2018) Concurrency of partnerships, consistency with data, and control of sexually transmitted infections. Epidemics, 25 . pp. 35-46. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2018.05.003

Datta, Samik, Mercer, Catherine H. and Keeling, Matthew James (2018) Capturing sexual contact patterns in modelling the spread of sexually transmitted infections : evidence using Natsal-3. PLoS One, 13 (11). e0206501. . doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0206501

Retkute, Renata, Jewell, Chris P., Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Zhang, Geli, Xiao, Xiangming, Thanapongtharme, Weerapong, Keeling, Matthew James, Gilbert, Marius and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand : the role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 159 . pp. 171-181. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.09.014

Meakin, Sophie R. and Keeling, Matthew James (2018) Correlations between stochastic epidemics in two interacting populations. Epidemics . doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2018.08.005 (In Press)

Koelle, Katia, Probert, William J. M. , Jewell, Chris P., Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C., Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (7). e1006202. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006202

Meadows, Amanda J., Mundt, Christopher C., Keeling, Matthew James and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics. Ecosphere, 9 (7). e02294. doi:10.1002/ecs2.2294 (In Press)

Rock, Kat S., Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., Castaño, Soledad, Palmer, Cody, Pandey, Abhishek, Atkins, Katherine E., Ndung’u, Joseph M., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Galvani, Alison, Bever, Caitlin, Chitnis, Nakul and Keeling, Matthew James (2018) Assessing strategies against gambiense sleeping sickness through mathematical modelling. Clinical Infectious Diseases, 66 (Supplement 4). S286-S292. doi:10.1093/cid/ciy018

Sellman, Stefan, Tsao, Kimberly, Tildesley, Michael J., Brommesson, Peter, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Keeling, Matthew James and Lindström, Tom (2018) Need for speed : an optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (4). e1006086. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006086

Irvine, Michael Alastair, Bull, James C. and Keeling, Matthew James (2018) Conservation of pattern as a tool for inference on spatial snapshots in ecological data. Scientific Reports, 8 . 132. doi:10.1038/s41598-017-17346-6

2017

Atia, Jolene, Monaghan, E. M. (Emma M.), Kaler, Jasmeet, Purdy, Kevin J., Green, Laura E. and Keeling, Matthew James (2017) Mathematical modeling of ovine footrot in the UK : the effect of Dichelobacter nodosus and Fusobacterium necrophorum on the disease dynamics. Epidemics, 21 . pp. 13-20. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2017.04.001

Keeling, Matthew James, Broadfoot, Katherine and Datta, Samik (2017) The impact of current infection levels on the cost-benefit of vaccination. Epidemics, 21 . pp. 56-62. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2017.06.004

Keeling, Matthew James, Franklin, Daniel, Datta, Samik, Brown, Michael A. and Budge, Giles E. (2017) Predicting the spread of the Asian hornet (Vespa velutina) following its incursion into Great Britain. Scientific Reports, 7 . 6240 . doi:10.1038/s41598-017-06212-0

Métras, Raphaëlle, Fournié, Guillaume, Dommergues, Laure, Camacho, Anton, Cavalerie, Lisa, Mérot, Philippe, Keeling, Matthew James, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine, Cardinale, Eric and Edmunds, W. John (2017) Drivers for Rift Valley fever emergence in Mayotte : a Bayesian modelling approach. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11 (7). e0005767. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005767

Métras, Raphaëlle, Dommergues, Laure, Ortiz, Katia, Pannequin, Marion, Schuler, Christian, Roux, Patrick, Edmunds, John W., Keeling, Matthew James, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine and Cardinale, Eric (2017) Absence of evidence of Rift Valley fever infection in Eulemur fulvus (Brown Lemur) in Mayotte during an interepidemic period. Vector-Borne and Zoonotic Diseases, 17 (5). pp. 358-360. doi:10.1089/vbz.2016.2079

Keeling, Matthew James, Datta, Samik, Franklin, Daniel, Flatman, Ivor, Wattam, Andy, Brown, Mike and Budge, Giles E. (2017) Efficient use of sentinel sites : detection of invasive honeybee pests and diseases in the UK. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 14 (129). 20160908. doi:10.1098/rsif.2016.0908

Atkins, Katie, Baguelin, Marc, Brand, Samuel, Jit, Mark, Keeling, Matthew James, Kibinge, Nelson, Kinyanjui, Timothy, Medley, Graham, Melegaro, Alessia, Munywoki, Patrick, Nokes, D. James, Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina, Pan-Ngum, Wurichada , Pellis, Lorenzo and White, Lisa (2017) RSV modelling meeting. University of Warwick, Coventry: School of Life Science and Zeeman Institute SBIDER Centre, University of Warwick, UK and KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme , Kilifi, Kenya. (Unpublished)

Franklin, Daniel, Brown, Mike A., Datta, Samik, Cuthbertson, Andrew G. S., Budge, Giles E. and Keeling, Matthew James (2017) Invasion dynamics of Asian hornet, Vespa velutina (Hymenoptera: Vespidae) : a case study of a commune in south-west France. Applied Entomology and Zoology, March 2017 . pp. 1-9. doi:10.1007/s13355-016-0470-z

Brand, Samuel and Keeling, Matthew James (2017) The impact of temperature changes on vector-borne disease transmission : Culicoides midges and Bluetongue virus. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 14 (128). 20160481. doi:10.1098/rsif.2016.0481

Rock, Kat S., Pandey, A., Ndeffo-Mbah, M. L., Atkins, K. E., Lumbala, C., Galvani, A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2017) Data for Data-driven models to predict the elimination of sleeping sickness in former Equateur province of DRC. [Dataset]

Shiri, Tinevimbo, Datta, Samik, Madan, Jason, Tsertsvadze, Alexander, Royle, Pamela, Keeling, Matthew James, McCarthy, Noel D. and Petrou, Stavros (2017) Indirect effects of childhood pneumococcal conjugate vaccination on invasive pneumococcal disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Global Health, 5 (1). e-51. doi:10.1016/S2214-109X(16)30306-0

Bradbury, Naomi V., Probert, William J. M. , Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2017) Quantifying the value of perfect information in emergency vaccination campaigns. PLoS Computational Biology, 13 (2). e1005318. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005318

Rock, Kat S., Torr, Steven J., Lumbala, Crispin and Keeling, Matthew James (2017) Predicting the impact of intervention strategies for sleeping sickness in two high-endemicity health zones of the Democratic Republic of Congo. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 11 (1). e0005162. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0005162

Rock, Kat S., Pandey, A., Ndeffo-Mbah, M. L., Atkins, K. E., Lumbala, C., Galvani, A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2017) Data-driven models to predict the elimination of sleeping sickness in former Equateur province of DRC. Epidemics, 18 . pp. 101-112. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2017.01.006

2016

Keeling, Matthew James, House, Thomas A., Cooper, A. J. and Pellis, Lorenzo (2016) Systematic approximations to susceptible-infectious-susceptible dynamics on networks. PLoS Computational Biology, 12 (12). e1005296. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005296

Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Brooks-Pollock, Ellen and Keeling, Matthew James (2016) Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics, 17 . pp. 35-41. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2016.10.004

Irvine, Michael Alastair, Bull, James C. (James Christopher) and Keeling, Matthew James (2016) Disease transmission promotes evolution of host spatial patterns. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 13 (122). 20160463. doi:10.1098/rsif.2016.0463

Métras, Raphaëlle, Cavalerie, Lisa, Dommergues, Laure, Mérot, Philippe, Edmunds, W. John, Keeling, Matthew James, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine and Cardinale, Eric (2016) The epidemiology of rift valley fever in Mayotte : insights and perspectives from 11 years of data. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 10 (6). pp. 1-12. e0004783. doi:10.1371/journal.pntd.0004783

Brand, Samuel, Rock, Kat S. and Keeling, Matthew James (2016) The interaction between vector life history and short vector life in vector-borne disease transmission and control. PLoS Computational Biology, 12 (4). e1004837. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004837

Irvine, Michael Alastair, Jackson, E. L., Kenyon, Emma J., Cook, Kevan J., Keeling, Matthew James and Bull, J. C. (2016) Fractal measures of spatial pattern as a heuristic for return rate in vegetative systems. Royal Society Open Science , 3 (3). pp. 1-11. 150519. doi:10.1098/rsos.150519

2015

Irvine, Michael Alastair, Bull, J. C. and Keeling, Matthew James (2015) Aggregation dynamics explain vegetation patch-size distributions. Theoretical Population Biology, 108 . pp. 70-74. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2015.12.001

NTD Modelling Consortium (Including:

). (2015) Quantitative analyses and modelling to support achievement of the 2020 goals for nine neglected tropical diseases. Parasites & Vectors, 8 (1). 630 . doi:10.1186/s13071-015-1235-1

Geard, Nicholas, Glass, Kathryn, McCaw, James M., McBryde, Emma S., Korb, Kevin B., Keeling, Matthew James and McVernon, Jodie (2015) The effects of demographic change on disease transmission and vaccine impact in a household structured population. Epidemics, 13 . pp. 56-64. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2015.08.002

Rock, Kat S., Torr, Steve J., Lumbala, Crispin and Keeling, Matthew James (2015) Quantitative evaluation of the strategy to eliminate human African trypanosomiasis in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Parasites & Vectors, 8 (1). 532. doi:10.1186/s13071-015-1131-8

Pellis, Lorenzo, House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2015) Exact and approximate moment closures for non-Markovian network epidemics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 382 (7). pp. 160-177. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.04.039

Rock, Kat S., Wood, David A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2015) Age- and bite-structured models for vector-borne diseases. Epidemics, 12 . pp. 20-29. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2015.02.006

Keeling, Matthew James and Ross, Joshua V. (2015) Optimal prophylactic vaccination in segregated populations : when can we improve on the equalising strategy? Epidemics, Volume 11 . pp. 7-13. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2015.01.002

Brand, Samuel, Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2015) Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics : a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Volume 370 . pp. 121-134. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.01.027

Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Jong, M. C. M. de, Keeling, Matthew James, Klinkenberg, Don and Wood, James L. N. (2015) Eight challenges in modelling infectious livestock diseases. Epidemics, Volume 10 . doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2014.08.005

Rock, Kat S., Stone, Chris M., Hastings, Ian M., Keeling, Matthew James, Torr, Stephen J. and Chitnis, Nakul (2015) Mathematical models of human African trypanosomiasis epidemiology. In: Mathematical Models for Neglected Tropical Diseases: Essential Tools for Control and Elimination, Part A. Academic Press, pp. 53-133.

2014

Black, Andrew J., House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James and Ross, Joshua V. (2014) The effect of clumped population structure on the variability of spreading dynamics. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Volume 359 . pp. 45-53. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.05.042

Hancock, Penelope A., Rehman, Yasmin, Hall, Ian M., Edeghere, Obaghe, Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2014) Strategies for controlling non-transmissible infection outbreaks using a large human movement data set. PLoS Computational Biology, Volume 10 (Number 9). pp. 1-8. Article number e1003809. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003809

Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Roberts, Gareth O. and Keeling, Matthew James (2014) A dynamic model of bovine tuberculosis spread and control in Great Britain. Nature, Volume 511 (Number 7508). pp. 228-231. doi:10.1038/nature13529

Buhnerkempe, Michael G., Tildesley, Michael J., Lindström, Tom, Grear, Daniel A., Portacci, Katie, Miller, Ryan S., Lombard, Jason E., Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno and Webb, Colleen T. (2014) The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. PLoS One, Volume 9 (Number 3). Article number e91724. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0091724

Rock, Kat S., Brand, Samuel, Moir, Jo and Keeling, Matthew James (2014) Dynamics of infectious diseases. Reports on Progress in Physics, Volume 77 (Number 2). Article number 026602. doi:10.1088/0034-4885/77/2/026602

2013

Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Tildesley, Michael J., Linard, Catherine, Halloy, José, Keeling, Matthew James and Gilbert, Marius (2013) The Nosoi commute : a spatial perspective on the rise of BSL-4 laboratories in cities. UNSPECIFIED. Cornell University: arXiv. (Unpublished)

Datta, Samik, Bull, James C., Budge, Giles E. and Keeling, Matthew James (2013) Modelling the spread of American foulbrood in honeybees. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Volume 10 (Number 88). Article number 20130650. doi:10.1098/rsif.2013.0650

Danon, Leon, Read, Jonathan M., House, Thomas A., Vernon, Matthew C. and Keeling, Matthew James (2013) Social encounter networks : characterizing Great Britain. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Volume 280 (Number 1765). p. 20131037. doi:10.1098/rspb.2013.1037

Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James and Boots, Mike (2013) The role of spatial population structure on the evolution of parasites with acquired immunity and demography. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Volume 324 . pp. 21-31. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2013.01.015

Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James and Boots, Mike (2013) A theoretical study of the role of spatial population structure in the evolution of parasite virulence. Theoretical Population Biology, Volume 84 . pp. 36-45. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2012.11.008

Jewell, Chris P., Brown, J., Keeling, Matthew James, Green, L. and Roberts, Gareth O. (2013) Bayesian epidemic risk prediction-knowledge transfer and usability at all levels. In: Society of Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine Annual Meeting, Madrid, Spain, 20-22 Mar 2013. Published in: Society for Veterinary Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine pp. 127-142.

Black, Andrew J., House, Thomas A., Keeling, Matthew James and Ross, Joshua V. (2013) Epidemiological consequences of household-based antiviral prophylaxis for pandemic influenza. Journal of Royal Society. Interface, Volume 10 (Number 81). Article no. 20121019. doi:10.1098/rsif.2012.1019

2012

(2012) Identification of 100 fundamental ecological questions. Journal of Ecology, Volume 101 (Number 1). pp. 58-67. doi:10.1111/1365-2745.12025

Rock, Kat S., Keeling, Matthew James and Wood, David A. (2012) Modelling the future of the Hawaiian honeycreeper : an ecological and epidemiological problem. Ecological Modelling, Volume 235-236 . pp. 26-35. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.04.004

Vernon, Matthew C. and Keeling, Matthew James (2012) Impact of regulatory perturbations to disease spread through cattle movements in Great Britain. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.105 (No.1-2). pp. 110-117. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.12.016

Tildesley, Michael J., Smith, Gary and Keeling, Matthew James (2012) Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.104 (No.3-4). pp. 224-239. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.11.007

House, Thomas A., Inglis, Nadia, Ross, Joshua V., Wilson, Fay, Suleman, Shakeel, Edeghere, Obaghe, Smith, Gillian, Olowokure, Babatunde and Keeling, Matthew James (2012) Estimation of outbreak severity and transmissibility : influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 in households. BMC Medicine, Vol.10 (No.1). p. 117. doi:10.1186/1741-7015-10-117

Keeling, Matthew James and Shattock, Andrew (2012) Optimal but unequitable prophylactic distribution of vaccine. Epidemics, Vol.4 (No.2). pp. 78-85. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2012.03.001

Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A., Read, Jonathan M. and Keeling, Matthew James (2012) Social encounter networks : collective properties and disease transmission. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.9 (No.76). pp. 2826-2833. doi:10.1098/rsif.2012.0357

2011

Lurette, Amandine, Belloc, Catherine and Keeling, Matthew James (2011) Contact structure and Salmonella control in the network of pig movements in France. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.102 (No.1). pp. 30-40. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.06.007

House, Thomas A., Baguelin, Marc, Hoek, Albert Jan Van, White, Peter J., Sadique, Zia, Eames, Ken T. D., Read, Jonathan M., Hens, Niel, Melegaro, Alessia, Edmunds, W. John and Keeling, Matthew James (2011) Modelling the impact of local reactive school closures on critical care provision during an influenza pandemic. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol.278 (No.1719). pp. 2753-2760. doi:10.1098/rspb.2010.2688

Carslake, David, Grant, Wyn, Green, Laura E., Cave, Jonathan A. K., Greaves, Justin, Keeling, Matthew James, McEldowney, John F., Weldegebriel, Habtu Tadesse and Medley, Graham (2011) Endemic cattle diseases : comparative epidemiology and governance. Royal Society of London. Philosophical Transactions B. Biological Sciences, Vol.366 (No.1573). pp. 1975-1986. doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0396

Keeling, Matthew James and White, Peter (2011) Targeting vaccination against novel infections : risk, age and spatial structure for pandemic influenza in Great Britain. Journal of the Royal Society - Interface, Vol.8 (No.58). pp. 661-670. doi:10.1098/rsif.2010.0474

House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2011) Epidemic prediction and control in clustered populations. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.272 (No.1). pp. 1-7. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2010.12.009

House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2011) Insights from unifying modern approximations to infections on networks. Journal of the Royal Society. Interface, Vol.8 (No.54). pp. 67-73. doi:10.1098/rsif.2010.0179

Danon, Leon, Ford, Ashley P., House, Thomas A., Jewell, Chris P., Keeling, Matthew James, Roberts, Gareth O., Ross, Joshua V. and Vernon, Matthew C. (2011) Networks and the epidemiology of infectious disease. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, Vol.2011 . Article no. 284909. doi:10.1155/2011/284909

Travis, Emma Rachel, Gaze, William H., Pontiroli, Alessandra, Sweeney, Francis P., Porter, David, Mason, Sam, Keeling, Matthew James, Jones, Rebecca M., Sawyer, Jason, Aranaz, Alicia, Castellanos Rizaldos, Elena, Cork, Jennifer, Delahay, Richard J., Wilson, Gavin J., Hewinson, R. Glyn, Courtenay, Orin and Wellington, E. M. H. (2011) An inter-laboratory validation of a real time PCR assay to measure host excretion of bacterial pathogens, particularly of mycobacterium bovis. PLoS One, Vol.6 (No.11). e27369. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027369

2010

Rorres, Chris, Pelletier, Sky T. K., Keeling, Matthew James and Smith, Gary (2010) Estimating the kernel parameters of premises-based stochastic models of farmed animal infectious disease epidemics using limited, incomplete, or ongoing data. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.78 (No.1). pp. 46-53. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2010.04.003

Keeling, Matthew James, Danon, Leon, Vernon, Matthew C. and House, Thomas A. (2010) Individual identity and movement networks for disease metapopulations. National Academy of Sciences. Proceedings, Vol.107 (No.19). pp. 8866-8870. doi:10.1073/pnas.1000416107

Conlan, Andrew J. K., Rohani, Pejman, Lloyd, Alun L., Keeling, Matthew James and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2010) Resolving the impact of waiting time distributions on the persistence of measles. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.7 (No.45). pp. 623-640. doi:10.1098/rsif.2009.0284

House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2010) The impact of contact tracing in clustered populations. PLoS Computational Biology, Vol.6 (No.3). Article no. e1000721. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000721

Ross, Joshua V., House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2010) Calculation of disease dynamics in a population of households. PLoS One, Vol.5 (No.3). Article no. e9666. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0009666

House, Thomas A., Hall, Ian, Danon, Leon and Keeling, Matthew James (2010) Contingency planning for a deliberate release of smallpox in Great Britain : the role of geographical scale and contact structure. BMC Infectious Diseases, Vol.10 . Article no. 25. doi:10.1186/1471-2334-10-25

Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A., Bruhn, Mark C., Curry, Ross J., O'Neil, Maggie, Allpress, Justine L. E., Smith, Gary and Keeling, Matthew James (2010) Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol.107 (No.3). pp. 1041-1046. doi:10.1073/pnas.0909047107

Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen. P., Grenfell, Bryan T., Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J. and Woolhouse, Mark E. J. (2010) Inference for individual-level models of infectious diseases in large populations. Statistica Sinica, Vol.20 (No.1). pp. 239-261.

Carslake, David, Cave, Jonathan A. K., Grant, Wyn, Greaves, Justin, Green, Laura E., Keeling, Matthew James, McEldowney, John F., Medley, Graham and Weldegebriel, Habtu Tadesse (2010) Animal health and welfare : a case study of science, law and policy in a regulatory environment. Law, Society and Policy, Vol.3 . pp. 227-255.

2009

Jewell, Chris P., Keeling, Matthew James and Roberts, Gareth O. (2009) Predicting undetected infections during the 2007 foot-and-mouth disease outbreak. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, Vol.6 (No.41). pp. 1145-1151. doi:10.1098/rsif.2008.0433

Brooks-Pollock, Ellen and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Herd size and bovine tuberculosis persistence in cattle farms in Great Britain. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.92 (No.4). pp. 360-365. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2009.08.022

Keeling, Matthew James and Danon, Leon (2009) Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases. British Medical Bulletin, Vol.92 (No.1). pp. 33-42. doi:10.1093/bmb/ldp038

House, Thomas A., Davies, G. (Geoffrey), Danon, Leon and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) A motif-based approach to network epidemics. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, Vol.71 (No.7). pp. 1693-1706. doi:10.1007/s11538-009-9420-z

Tildesley, Michael J., Bessell, Paul R., Keeling, Matthew James and Woolhouse, Mark E. J. (2009) The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease. Royal Society of London. Proceedings B. Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1671). pp. 3239-3248. doi:10.1098/rspb.2009.0427

Dangerfield, C. E., Ross, Joshua V. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Integrating stochasticity and network structure into an epidemic model. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.6 (No.38). pp. 761-774. doi:10.1098/rsif.2008.0410

Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Corrigendum to 'Is R-0 a good predictor of final epidemic size: foot-and-mouth disease in the UK': [vol 258, pg 623, 2009]. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.259 (No.4). p. 863. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.05.015

Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Is R0 a good predictor of final epidemic size : foot-and-mouth disease in the UK. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.258 (No.4). pp. 623-629. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.02.019

Heffernan, J. M. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Implications of vaccination and waning immunity. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1664). pp. 2071-2080. doi:10.1098/rspb.2009.0057

House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Household structure and infectious disease transmission. Epidemiology and Infection, Vol.137 (No.5). pp. 654-661. doi:10.1017/S0950268808001416

Keeling, Matthew James and Ross, Joshua V. (2009) Efficient methods for studying stochastic disease and population dynamics. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.75 (No.2-3). pp. 133-141. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2009.01.003

Vernon, Matthew C. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Representing the UK's cattle herd as static and dynamic networks. Royal Society of London. Proceedings B. Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1656). pp. 469-476. doi:10.1098/rspb.2008.1009

Danon, Leon, Read, Jonathan M., Keeling, Matthew James, House, Thomas A. and Vernon, Matthew C. (2009) Social contact study. [Dataset]

Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) The role of routine versus random movements on the spread of disease in Great Britain. Epidemics, Vol.1 (No.4). pp. 250-258. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2009.11.002

2008

Tildesley, Michael J., Deardon, Rob, Savill, Nicholas J., Bessell, Paul R., Brooks, Stephen P., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Grenfell, Bryan T. and Keeling, Matthew James (2008) Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. Biological Sciences , Vol.275 (No.1641). pp. 1459-1468. doi:10.1098/rspb.2008.0006

Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2008) Modelling foot-and-mouth disease : a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.85 (No.1-2). pp. 107-124. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2008.01.008

Marchetti, F. M., Szymanska, M. H. (Marzena H.), Keeling, Matthew James, Kasprzak, J., Andre, R., Littlewood, Peter B. and Dang, Le Si (2008) Phase diagram for condensation of microcavity polaritons: From theory to practice. Physical Review B (Condensed Matter and Materials Physics), Vol.77 (No.23). doi:10.1103/PhysRevB.77.235313

House, Thomas A. and Keeling, Matthew James (2008) Deterministic epidemic models with explicit household structure. Mathematical Biosciences, Vol.213 (No.1). pp. 29-39. doi:10.1016/j.mbs.2008.01.011

Keeling, Matthew James and Ross, Joshua V. (2008) On methods for studying stochastic disease dynamics. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Volume 5 (Number 19). pp. 171-181. doi:10.1098/rsif.2007.1106

Heffernan, J. M. and Keeling, Matthew James (2008) An in-host model of acute infection : measles as a case study. Theoretical Population Biology , Vol.73 (No.1). pp. 134-147. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2007.10.003

Keeling, Matthew James and Rohani, Pejman (2008) Modeling infectious diseases in humans and animals. Princeton: Princeton University Press. ISBN 9780691116174

Keeling, Matthew James, Vernon, Matthew C., Danon, Leon, House, Thomas A. and Read, Jonathan M. (2008) Online And Offline Ego‐centered Network Data Collection. In: 31st International Sunbelt Social Network Conference, Florida, USA, 8‐13, Feb 2011 . Published in: Proceedings of the 31st International Sunbelt Social Network Conference

Keeling, Matthew James and Vernon, Matthew C. (2008) Simulating infectious diseases using network and individual-based models. In: 28th International Sunbelt Social Network Conference, Florida, USA, 22-27 Jan, 2008. Published in: Proceedings of the 28th International Sunbelt Social Network Conference pp. 97-98.

2007

Courtenay, Orin, Reilly, L. A., Keeling, Matthew James, Sweeney, F. P., Wellington, E. M. H., Macdonald, David W., Delahay, Richard J., Wilson, G. J. and Cheeseman, C. L. (2007) Performance of an environmental test to detect Mycobacterium bovis infection in badger social groups. Veterinary Record, The, Vol.161 . pp. 817-818. doi:10.1136/vr.161.24.817

Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James and Boots, Mike (2007) Host-parasite interactions between the local and the mean-field: how and when does spatial population structure matter? Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.249 (No.1). pp. 140-152. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2007.06.013

Read, Jonathan M. and Keeling, Matthew James (2007) Stochasticity generates an evolutionary instability for infectious disease. Ecology Letters, Vol.10 (No.9). pp. 818-827. doi:10.1111/j.1461-0248.2007.01078.x

Woodbine, K. A., Medley, Graham, Slevin, J., Kilbride, A. L. (Amy L.), Novell, E. J., Turner, M. J., Keeling, Matthew James and Green, Laura E. (2007) Spatiotemporal patterns and risks of herd breakdowns in pigs with postweaning multisystemic wasting syndrome. Veterinary Record, Vol.160 (No.22). pp. 751-762. doi:10.1136/vr.160.22.751

Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Brooks, Stephen P. and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2007) Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.4 (No.13). pp. 235-241. doi:10.1098/rsif.2006.0178

Webb, Steven D., Keeling, Matthew James and Boots, Mike (2007) Spatially extended host-parasite interactions: the role of recovery and immunity. Theoretical Population Biology, Vol.71 (No.2). pp. 251-266. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2006.07.010

Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen P., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Grenfell, Bryan T. and Keeling, Matthew James (2007) Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease. Nature, Vol.445 (No.7128). E12-E13. doi:10.1038/nature05605

Price, Andrew R. G., Keeling, Matthew James and Stewart, Ian (2007) A robustness metric integrating spatial and temporal information : application to coral reefs exposed to local and regional disturbances. Marine Ecology - Progress Series, Volume 331 . pp. 101-108. doi:10.3354/meps331101

2006

Read, Jonathan M. and Keeling, Matthew James (2006) Disease evolution across a range of spatio-temporal scales. Theoretical Population Biology, Volume 70 (Number 2). pp. 201-213. doi:10.1016/j.tpb.2006.04.006

Savill, Nicholas J., St Rose, Suzanne G., Keeling, Matthew James and Woolhouse, Mark E. J. (2006) Silent spread of H5N1 in vaccinated poultry. Nature, 442 (7104). p. 757. doi:10.1038/442757a

Eames, Ken T. D. and Keeling, Matthew James (2006) Coexistence and specialization of pathogen strains on contact networks. American Naturalist, Vol.168 (No.2). pp. 230-241. doi:10.1086/505760

Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Shaw, Duncan, Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen P. and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2006) FMD control strategies - Comment. Veterinary Record, Volume 158 (Number 20). pp. 707-708. doi:10.1136/vr.158.20.707

Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Brooks, Stephan P. and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2006) Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. BMC Veterinary Research, Vol.2 (No.3). doi:10.1186/1746-6148-2-3

2005

Wearing, Helen J., Rohani, Pejman and Keeling, Matthew James (2005) Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases. PLOS Medicine, Vol.2 (No.7). pp. 621-627. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.0020174

1995

Keeling, Matthew James (1995) The ecology and evolution of spatial host-parasite systems. PhD thesis, University of Warwick.