Angelis, Vasilis (1978) A dynamic model of growth and decline in industrial cities. PhD thesis, University of Warwick.

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Abstract

The principal aim of this study is the construction of a dynamic model for the analysis of the process of development — growth or decline—of an industrial city.

The study is divided into four parts

Part 1 discusses the Dynamics of the industrial city and introduces one of the fundamental concepts for the construction of the model; the Image of the city. It is argued that the image of a city displays generally discontinuous behaviour und Catastrophe Theory is used for its study.

Part 2 covers the presentation of the model. It la divided into five submodels and behavioural relations are used in a simulation context to represent the interactions between the various urban entities. Although the proposed model is primarily descriptive, extensions of its use for planning purposes are also discussed

Part 3 concentrates on the testing of the model. Data for Coventry and Oldham is used, both to validate the use of the concept of a city's Image in modelling urban development and then to test the descriptive power of a particular model using that concept. The results obtained by running the model program for Coventry and Oldham but also for a number of other cities show a satisfactory fit to historical reality.

Finally, Part 4 consists of several Appendices containing technical and statistical details.

For easier presentation, the contents of the study have been arranged into two volumes A and B containing Parts 1-3 and Part 4 respectively.

Item Type:	Thesis (PhD)
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HT Communities. Classes. Races
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Cities and towns -- Growth -- Mathematical models, Cities and towns -- Economic aspects , Shrinking cities -- Mathematical models
Official Date:	December 1978
Dates:	Date Event December 1978 Submitted
Institution:	University of Warwick
Theses Department:	Department of Engineering
Thesis Type:	PhD
Publication Status:	Unpublished
Supervisor(s)/Advisor:	Thomas, Terry H.
Extent:	2 volumes (587 leaves) : illustrations
Language:	eng

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