Distribution regression for sequential data

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Abstract

Distribution regression refers to the supervised learning problem where labels are only available for groups of inputs instead of individual inputs. In this paper, we develop a rigorous mathematical framework for distribution regression where inputs are complex data streams. Leveraging properties of the expected signature and a recent signature kernel trick for sequential data from stochastic analysis, we introduce two new learning techniques, one feature-based and the other kernel-based. Each is suited to a different data regime in terms of the number of data streams and the dimensionality of the individual streams. We provide theoretical results on the universality of both approaches and demonstrate empirically their robustness to irregularly sampled multivariate time-series, achieving state-of-the-art performance on both synthetic and real-world examples from thermodynamics, mathematical finance and agricultural science.

Item Type: Conference Item (Paper)
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Computer Science
Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Machine learning, Statistical decision, Artificial intelligence, Mathematical statistics, Electronic data processing -- Distributed processing -- Statistical methods, Regression analysis
Series Name: Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
Journal or Publication Title: Proceedings of the 24th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS)
Publisher: PMLR
ISSN: 2640-3498
Official Date: 2021
Dates:
Date
Event
2021
Available
23 January 2021
Accepted
Volume: 130
Page Range: pp. 3754-3762
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons open licence)
Date of first compliant deposit: 2 September 2021
Date of first compliant Open Access: 2 September 2021
Funder:
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant:
Project/Grant ID
RIOXX Funder Name
Funder ID
EP/V02678X/1
Alan Turing Institute
EP/N510129/1
[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
EP/L016710/1
[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
EP/R513295/1
[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
EP/T004134/1
[EPSRC] Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Conference Paper Type: Paper
Title of Event: The 24th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS 2021)
Type of Event: Conference
Location of Event: Virtual
Date(s) of Event: 13-15 Apr 2021
Related URLs:
Open Access Version:
URI: https://wrap.warwick.ac.uk/148001/

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