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In sickness and in health : presidential illness and intra-party factions in Africa
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Agboga, Victor (2021) In sickness and in health : presidential illness and intra-party factions in Africa. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick. African Politics Conference Group APCG . (Unpublished)
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Abstract
To prevent a retrogression into conflict, African states have orchestrated power-sharing agreements among ethnoreligious groups. However, the incapacitation of a president which leads to a premature power-shift complicates this ethnic arithmetic and threatens the existing redistributive mechanism. While the sickness (and death) of an incumbent is considered dire in new and old democracies, the event takes a dramatic turn in the former with recent episodes of intergroup animosities. This paper examines how the sickness and death of a president in Africa could expose the fragility of interethnic agreements. Using Nigeria as a case study, and by examining the events surrounding the sickness and death of President Yar’Adua, and the near reoccurrence in President Buhari’s tenure, this paper argues that power-rotation agreements which are not institutionalised and which do not make provisions for the possibility of premature power-shifts are susceptible to aberrations with serious consequences for political stability.
| Item Type: | Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper) | ||||
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| Subjects: | D History General and Old World > DT Africa H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor J Political Science > JC Political theory J Political Science > JF Political institutions (General) J Political Science > JQ Political institutions (Asia, Africa, Australia, Pacific Area, etc.) J Political Science > JS Local government Municipal government |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies | ||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Africa -- Politics and government , Nigeria -- Politics and government , Power (Social sciences) -- Nigeria, Local government -- Nigeria, Coalition governments -- Nigeria, Conflict management -- Nigeria, Presidents -- Succession -- Nigeria | ||||
| Series Name: | African Politics Conference Group APCG | ||||
| Publisher: | University of Warwick | ||||
| Place of Publication: | Coventry | ||||
| Official Date: | 19 February 2021 | ||||
| Dates: |
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| Number of Pages: | 24 | ||||
| Institution: | University of Warwick | ||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
| Publication Status: | Unpublished | ||||
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