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Urban insurgency in the twenty-first century : reduced military forces and the rise of conflict in cities

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King, Anthony (2022) Urban insurgency in the twenty-first century : reduced military forces and the rise of conflict in cities. International Affairs, 98 (2). pp. 609-629. doi:10.1093/ia/iiac007 ISSN 0020-5850.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiac007

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Abstract

In the last two decades, urban insurgencies have become a major concern for scholars and practitioners. It is widely assumed that because half the human population now live in cities in often appalling conditions, it is inevitable that conflict has migrated to cities, not least because urban areas offer would-be insurgents the best opportunity to evade state security forces and their advanced technologies. Demography and asymmetry have been all but universally accepted in the literature as the sole causes of urban insurgency. They are certainly important. Yet, scholars have overlooked a third vital factor: the size of state forces. In the twentieth century, urban insurgencies were common. However, because states commanded very large military forces at that time, insurgents found it very difficult to operate in urban areas. By contrast, as their forces have contracted in the twenty-first century, states have been unable to dominate urban areas, as they typically did in the twentieth century. Consequently, no-go areas have appeared inside cities providing insurgents with ideal bases from which to mount their attacks and to contest with state forces.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: J Political Science > JC Political theory
U Military Science > U Military Science (General)
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Insurgency -- History -- 21st century, Insurgency -- History -- 20th century, Urban warfare -- History -- 21st century, Urban warfare -- History -- 20th century, Armed forces -- Mobilization -- History -- 20th century, Armed forces -- Mobilization -- History -- 21st century
Journal or Publication Title: International Affairs
Publisher: Oxford University Press
ISSN: 0020-5850
Official Date: 7 March 2022
Dates:
DateEvent
7 March 2022Published
21 December 2021Accepted
Volume: 98
Number: 2
Page Range: pp. 609-629
DOI: 10.1093/ia/iiac007
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)
Date of first compliant deposit: 6 January 2022
Date of first compliant Open Access: 12 April 2022
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