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An introduction to psychologically plausible sampling schemes for approximating Bayesian inference
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Zhu, Jian-Qiao, Chater, Nick, León-Villagrá, Pablo, Spicer, Jake, Sundh, Joakim and Sanborn, Adam N. (2023) An introduction to psychologically plausible sampling schemes for approximating Bayesian inference. In: Fiedler, Klaus and Juslin, Peter and Denrell, Jerker, (eds.) Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making. Cambridge, United Kingdom: Cambridge University Press, pp. 467-489. ISBN 9781009002042
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009002042.026
Abstract
The brain must make inferences about, and decisions concerning, a highly complex and unpredictable world, based on sparse evidence. An “ideal” normative approach to such challenges is often modeled in terms of Bayesian probabilistic inference. But for real-world problems of perception, motor control, categorization, language understanding, or commonsense reasoning, exact probabilistic calculations are computationally intractable. Instead, we suggest that the brain solves these hard probability problems approximately, by considering one, or a few, samples from the relevant distributions. Here we provide a gentle introduction to the various sampling algorithms that have been considered as the approximation used by the brain. We broadly summarize these algorithms according to their level of knowledge and their assumptions regarding the target distribution, noting their strengths and weaknesses, their previous applications to behavioural phenomena, as well as their psychological plausibility.
| Item Type: | Book Item | ||||||||
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School > Behavioural Science Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Psychology Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School |
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| Publisher: | Cambridge University Press | ||||||||
| Place of Publication: | Cambridge, United Kingdom | ||||||||
| ISBN: | 9781009002042 | ||||||||
| Book Title: | Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making | ||||||||
| Editor: | Fiedler, Klaus and Juslin, Peter and Denrell, Jerker | ||||||||
| Official Date: | 1 June 2023 | ||||||||
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| Page Range: | pp. 467-489 | ||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1017/9781009002042.026 | ||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
| Reuse Statement (publisher, data, author rights): | This material has been published in Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making edited by Klaus Fiedler, Peter Juslin and Jerker Denrell. This version is free to view and download for personal use only. Not for re-distribution, re-sale or use in derivative works. © Cambridge University Press | ||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 5 January 2022 | ||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 29 September 2023 | ||||||||
| RIOXX Funder/Project Grant: |
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