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Forecasts on future evolution of artificial intelligence and intelligent systems
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Radanliev, Petar, De Roure, David, Maple, Carsten and Santos, Omar (2022) Forecasts on future evolution of artificial intelligence and intelligent systems. IEEE Access, 10 . pp. 45280-45288. doi:10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3169580 ISSN 2169-3536.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3169580
Abstract
The field of artificial intelligence has gained a significant attention in the media. Some counties claim to be the leaders in the field, other countries claim to be winning in the race for leadership in artificial intelligence. This article conducts a statistical (i.e., bibliometric) analysis of research data records on artificial intelligence by year, country, language, and organisation. The results are clearly in favour of the USA on a national level, and English is clearly the dominant language for disseminating results. But in terms of leading organisation in the field of artificial intelligence creates more confusing result – e.g., between the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the University of California - in the leadership race. The forecasts from this study on future evolution of artificial intelligence is that it is unlikely that (in the next 60 years) AI ‘superintelligence’ would trigger a catastrophic event for humanity.
Item Type: | Journal Article | |||||||||
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Subjects: | Q Science > Q Science (General) T Technology > TJ Mechanical engineering and machinery |
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Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Engineering > WMG (Formerly the Warwick Manufacturing Group) | |||||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Artificial intelligence -- Forecasting, Intelligent control systems -- Forecasting | |||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | IEEE Access | |||||||||
Publisher: | IEEE | |||||||||
ISSN: | 2169-3536 | |||||||||
Official Date: | 22 April 2022 | |||||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 10 | |||||||||
Page Range: | pp. 45280-45288 | |||||||||
DOI: | 10.1109/ACCESS.2022.3169580 | |||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | |||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | |||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | |||||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 30 May 2022 | |||||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 1 June 2022 | |||||||||
RIOXX Funder/Project Grant: |
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