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The sequence effect in panel decisions : evidence from the evaluation of research and development projects
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Criscuolo, Paola, Dahlander, Linus, Grohsjean, Thorsten and Salter, Ammon (2021) The sequence effect in panel decisions : evidence from the evaluation of research and development projects. Organization Science, 32 (4). pp. 987-1008. doi:10.1287/orsc.2020.1413 ISSN 1047-7039.
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Official URL: http://doi.org/10.1287/orsc.2020.1413
Abstract
We examine how groups fall prey to the sequence effect when they make choices based on informed assessments of complex situations, for example, when evaluating research and development (R&D) projects. The core argument is that the temporal sequence of selection matters because projects that appear in a sequence following a funded project are themselves less likely to receive funding. Building on the idea that selecting R&D projects is a demanding process that drains participants’ mental and emotional resources, we further theorize the moderating effect of the influence of the timing of the panel meeting on the sequence effect. We test these conjectures using a randomization in sequence order from several rounds of R&D project selection at a leading professional service firm. We find robust support for the existence of a sequence effect in R&D as well as for the moderating effect. We further explore different explanations for the sequence effect and how it passes from the individual to the panel. These findings have broader implications for the literature on innovation and search in general and on group decision making for R&D, specifically, as they suggest that a previously overlooked dimension affects selection outcomes.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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Subjects: | H Social Sciences > HD Industries. Land use. Labor | ||||||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Warwick Business School | ||||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Decision making , Organizational behavior , Research and development projects -- Administration -- Decision making , Managerial economics | ||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Organization Science | ||||||||
Publisher: | Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (I N F O R M S) | ||||||||
ISSN: | 1047-7039 | ||||||||
Official Date: | July 2021 | ||||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 32 | ||||||||
Number: | 4 | ||||||||
Page Range: | pp. 987-1008 | ||||||||
DOI: | 10.1287/orsc.2020.1413 | ||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 1 June 2023 | ||||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 1 June 2023 |
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