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Machine learning prediction of wave characteristics : comparison between semi-empirical approaches and DT model

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Yeganeh-Bakhtiary, Abbas, EyvazOghli, Hossein, Shabakhty, Naser and Abolfathi, Soroush (2023) Machine learning prediction of wave characteristics : comparison between semi-empirical approaches and DT model. Ocean Engineering, 286 (2). 115583. doi:10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.115583 ISSN 0029-8018.

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.115583

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Abstract

Prediction of wave characteristics plays a crucial role in design and performance assessment of various coastal projects. The computational complexity and time-consuming procedures have limited the applications of numerical models for wave predictions. This study develops a new model for wave prediction using the capabilities of the M5p Decision Tree (DT) algorithm. The wind speed was employed as the model input parameter, and satellite measured altimeter data was used to train and test the developed models. The proposed DT-based model is compared with the existing semi-empirical wave prediction methods recommended by Coastal Engineering Manual (CEM). For a comprehensive assessment of the model's performance, four scenarios with different input data and modelling approaches are investigated. It was shown that the locally calibrated CEM formula can provide the best performance amongst the modified semi-empirical formulations. Comparison results show that M5p DT models' prediction are far more accurate and closely match the satellite measured altimeter data than the semi-empirical models. Furthermore, the ‘Short-term’ M5p tree model is shown to have the best predictive results, and the obtained results highlight that the proposed M5p model can provide a robust alternative for wave prediction across large spatial and temporal scales.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GC Oceanography
T Technology > TC Hydraulic engineering. Ocean engineering
Divisions: Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Engineering > Engineering
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Ocean waves -- Measurement, Water waves -- Measurement, Wind waves, Machine learning, Remote sensing
Journal or Publication Title: Ocean Engineering
Publisher: Elsevier
ISSN: 0029-8018
Official Date: 15 October 2023
Dates:
DateEvent
15 October 2023Published
19 August 2023Available
7 August 2023Accepted
Volume: 286
Number: 2
Article Number: 115583
DOI: 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2023.115583
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 21 August 2023

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