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Incorporating heterogeneity in farmer disease control behaviour into a livestock disease transmission model
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Hill, Edward M., Prosser, Naomi S., Brown, Paul E., Ferguson, Eamonn, Green, Martin J., Kaler, Jasmeet, Keeling, Matt J. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2023) Incorporating heterogeneity in farmer disease control behaviour into a livestock disease transmission model. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 219 . 106019. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.106019 ISSN 0167-5877.
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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.106019
Abstract
Human behaviour is critical to effective responses to livestock disease outbreaks, especially with respect to vaccination uptake. Traditionally, mathematical models used to inform this behaviour have not taken heterogeneity in farmer behaviour into account. We address this by exploring how heterogeneity in farmers vaccination behaviour can be incorporated to inform mathematical models. We developed and used a graphical user interface to elicit farmers (n = 60) vaccination decisions to an unfolding fast-spreading epidemic and linked this to their psychosocial and behavioural profiles. We identified, via cluster analysis, robust patterns of heterogeneity in vaccination behaviour. By incorporating these vaccination behavioural groupings into a mathematical model for a fast-spreading livestock infection, using computational simulation we explored how the inclusion of heterogeneity in farmer disease control behaviour may impact epidemiological and economic focused outcomes. When assuming homogeneity in farmer behaviour versus configurations informed by the psychosocial profile cluster estimates, the modelled scenarios revealed a disconnect in projected distributions and threshold statistics across outbreak size, outbreak duration and economic metrics.
| Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||||||
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| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA76 Electronic computers. Computer science. Computer software R Medicine > RA Public aspects of medicine S Agriculture > SF Animal culture |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Life Sciences (2010- ) Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Mathematics |
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| SWORD Depositor: | Library Publications Router | ||||||||||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Livestock -- Diseases -- Prevention, Farmers -- Attitudes, Graphical user interfaces (Computer systems), Communicable diseases -- Mathematical models | ||||||||||||
| Journal or Publication Title: | Preventive Veterinary Medicine | ||||||||||||
| Publisher: | Elsevier | ||||||||||||
| ISSN: | 0167-5877 | ||||||||||||
| Official Date: | October 2023 | ||||||||||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | 219 | ||||||||||||
| Article Number: | 106019 | ||||||||||||
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.106019 | ||||||||||||
| Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||||||
| Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) | ||||||||||||
| Date of first compliant deposit: | 13 September 2023 | ||||||||||||
| Date of first compliant Open Access: | 13 September 2023 | ||||||||||||
| RIOXX Funder/Project Grant: |
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