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Sibling death clustering in India : state dependence versus unobserved heterogeneity

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Arulampalam, Wiji and Bhalotra, Sonia (2006) Sibling death clustering in India : state dependence versus unobserved heterogeneity. Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A-Statistics In Society, Volume 169 (Part 4). pp. 829-848. doi:10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00425.x ISSN 0964-1998.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00425.x

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Abstract

Data from a range of environments indicate that the incidence of death is not randomly distributed across families but, rather, that there is a clustering of death among siblings. A natural explanation of this would be that there are (observed or unobserved) differences across families, e.g. in genetic frailty, education or living standards. Another hypothesis that is of considerable interest for both theory and policy is that there is a causal process whereby the death of a child influences the risk of death of the succeeding child in the family. Drawing language from the literature on the economics of unemployment, the causal effect is referred to here as state dependence (or scarring). The paper investigates the extent of state dependence in India, distinguishing this from family level risk factors that are common to siblings. It offers some methodological innovations on previous research. Estimates are obtained for each of three Indian states, which exhibit dramatic differences in socio-economic and demographic variables. The results suggest a significant degree of state dependence in each of the three regions. Eliminating scarring, it is estimated, would reduce the incidence of infant mortality (among children who are born after the first child) by 9.8% in the state of Uttar Pradesh, 6.0% in West Bengal and 5.9% in Kerala.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: H Social Sciences
Q Science > QA Mathematics
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Journal or Publication Title: Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series A-Statistics In Society
Publisher: Blackwell Publishing
ISSN: 0964-1998
Official Date: October 2006
Dates:
DateEvent
October 2006Published
Volume: Volume 169
Number: Part 4
Number of Pages: 20
Page Range: pp. 829-848
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2006.00425.x
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Title of Event: Conference of the Economic-and-Social-Research-Council-Econometric-Study-Group
Location of Event: Bristol, ENGLAND
Date(s) of Event: 2004

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