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Regulating autonomous agents facing conflicting objectives : a command and control example
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Smith, J. Q. and Dodd, Lorraine (2011) Regulating autonomous agents facing conflicting objectives : a command and control example. Working Paper. Coventry: University of Warwick. Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology. Working papers, Vol.2011 (No.12).
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Official URL: http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/sci/statistics/crism...
Abstract
UK military commanders have a degree of devolved decision
authority delegated from command and control (C2) regulators,
and they are trained and expected to act rationally and accountably. Therefore from a Bayesian perspective they should be subjective expected utility maximizers. In fact they largely appear
to be so. However when current tactical objectives conflict with
broader campaign objective there is a strong risk that fielded
commanders will lose rationality and coherence. By systematically analysing the geometry of their expected utilities, arising
from a utility function with two attributes, we demonstrate in
this paper that even when a remote C2 regulator can predict
only the likely broad shape of her agents' marginal utility functions it is still often possible for her to identify robustly those
settings where the commander is at risk of making inappropriate
decisions.
| Item Type: | Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Subjects: | Q Science > QA Mathematics U Military Science > U Military Science (General) |
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| Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics | ||||
| Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Bayesian statistical decision theory, Command of troops -- Mathematical models, Tactics -- Mathematical models | ||||
| Series Name: | Working papers | ||||
| Publisher: | University of Warwick. Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology | ||||
| Place of Publication: | Coventry | ||||
| Official Date: | 2011 | ||||
| Dates: |
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| Volume: | Vol.2011 | ||||
| Number: | No.12 | ||||
| Number of Pages: | 12 | ||||
| Institution: | University of Warwick | ||||
| Status: | Not Peer Reviewed | ||||
| Access rights to Published version: | Open Access (Creative Commons) |
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