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The effect of investment in children’s education on fertility in 1816 Prussia

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Becker, Sascha O., Cinnirella, Francesco and Woessmann, Ludger (2011) The effect of investment in children’s education on fertility in 1816 Prussia. Cliometrica, Vol.6 (No.1). pp. 29-44. doi:10.1007/s11698-011-0061-8 ISSN 1863-2505.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11698-011-0061-8

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Abstract

The interaction between investment in children’s education and parental
fertility is crucial in recent theories of the transition from Malthusian
stagnation to modern economic growth. This paper contributes to the
literature on the child quantity-quality trade-off with new county-level
evidence for Prussia in 1816, several decades before the demographic
transition. We find a significant negative causal effect of education on
fertility, which is robust to accounting for spatial autocorrelation. The
causal effect of education is identified through exogenous variation in
enrollment rates due to differences in landownership inequality. A
comparison with estimates for 1849 suggests that the preference for
quality relative to quantity might have increased during the first half of
the nineteenth century.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: D History General and Old World > DD Germany
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HQ The family. Marriage. Woman
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Education -- Demographic aspects -- Germany -- Prussia -- History -- 19th century, Fertility, Human -- Statistics, Fertility, Human -- Germany -- Prussia -- History -- 19th century, Prussia (Germany) -- Population
Journal or Publication Title: Cliometrica
Publisher: Springer
ISSN: 1863-2505
Official Date: 18 January 2011
Dates:
DateEvent
18 January 2011Published
Volume: Vol.6
Number: No.1
Page Range: pp. 29-44
DOI: 10.1007/s11698-011-0061-8
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 17 December 2015
Date of first compliant Open Access: 17 December 2015

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