San Miguel, Olga Arratibel (1996) Monetary policy, credibility and central bank constitutions. PhD thesis, University of Warwick.

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Abstract

Although most macroeconomists agree that the control of inflation may involve
losses of output, there is no consensus about why.
New Classical economists, focusing on the issue of credibility, have identified incentive
problems as important obstacles to price stability. On the contrary, many
new Keynesians regard credibility problems as secondary. They focus on the microeconomic
details of wage and price adjustments as potential sources of disinflationary
costs.
Yet, if the costs and the benefits of anti-inflationary policy are strictly related to
the market structure of the economy, so will be the incentives tempting the monetary
authority to inflate. Indeed, what we show in this thesis is that the microeconomic
aspects of wage and price setting not only affect the costs (benefits) of credible disinflationary
(inflationary) policy, but that they need to be considered to determine
whether those disinflationary (inflationary) policies can be perceived as credible or
not.
Despite the relevance of this problem, the economic analysis of microfoundations
has received little attention at the time of designing efficient resolutions for the credibility
problem of monetary policy. This idea has been illustrated in different ways.
First, Rogoff's idea of delegation does not seem very attractive, if the wage setting
process appears to be dominated by insider workers. Moreover, we have underlined
the difficulties that a country like Spain, with a highly distorted labour market, may
face in fighting inflation.
Second, interesting patterns of inflation and output behaviour may be generated
by the interaction of both credibility problems and staggered wage setting.
Finally, although the difficulties of implementing anti-inflationary policies are emphasised
in all our examples, they are particularly severe when near-rational behaviour
or, alternatively, costs of changing prices are taken into account.

Item Type:	Thesis or Dissertation (PhD)
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory H Social Sciences > HG Finance
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH):	Inflation (Finance), Monetary policy, Banks and banking, Central
Official Date:	August 1996
Dates:	Date Event August 1996 Submitted
Institution:	University of Warwick
Theses Department:	Department of Economics
Thesis Type:	PhD
Publication Status:	Unpublished
Supervisor(s)/Advisor:	Miller, Marcus, 1941- ; Thomas, Jonathan
Sponsors:	Universidades e Investigacion del Gobierno Vasco. Departamento de Educacion
Extent:	x, 223 p.
Language:	eng

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