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The trade-off between fertility and education : evidence from before the demographic transition

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Becker, Sascha O., Cinnirella, Francesco and Woessmann, Ludger (2010) The trade-off between fertility and education : evidence from before the demographic transition. Journal of Economic Growth, Vol.15 (No.3). pp. 177-204. doi:10.1007/s10887-010-9054-x ISSN 1381-4338.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10887-010-9054-x

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Abstract

The trade-off between child quantity and quality is a crucial ingredient of unified growth models that explain the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern growth. We present first evidence that such a trade-off indeed existed already in the nineteenth century, exploiting a unique census-based dataset of 334 Prussian counties in 1849. Furthermore, we find that causation between fertility and education runs both ways, based on separate instrumental-variable models that instrument fertility by sex ratios and education by landownership inequality and distance to Wittenberg. Education in 1849 also predicts the fertility transition in 1880-1905.

Item Type: Journal Article
Subjects: D History General and Old World > DD Germany
H Social Sciences > HC Economic History and Conditions
H Social Sciences > HQ The family. Marriage. Woman
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Education -- Demographic aspects -- Germany -- Prussia -- History -- 19th century, Fertility, Human -- Statistics, Fertility, Human -- Germany -- Prussia -- History -- 19th century, Prussia (Germany) -- Population
Journal or Publication Title: Journal of Economic Growth
Publisher: Springer
ISSN: 1381-4338
Official Date: 13 August 2010
Dates:
DateEvent
13 August 2010Published
Volume: Vol.15
Number: No.3
Number of Pages: 28
Page Range: pp. 177-204
DOI: 10.1007/s10887-010-9054-x
Status: Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Published
Access rights to Published version: Restricted or Subscription Access
Date of first compliant deposit: 3 December 2015
Date of first compliant Open Access: 3 December 2015
Funder: Wissenschaftsgemeinschaft Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz

Data sourced from Thomson Reuters' Web of Knowledge

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