Skip to content Skip to navigation
University of Warwick
  • Study
  • |
  • Research
  • |
  • Business
  • |
  • Alumni
  • |
  • News
  • |
  • About

University of Warwick
Publications service & WRAP

Highlight your research

  • WRAP
    • Home
    • Search WRAP
    • Browse by Warwick Author
    • Browse WRAP by Year
    • Browse WRAP by Subject
    • Browse WRAP by Department
    • Browse WRAP by Funder
    • Browse Theses by Department
  • Publications Service
    • Home
    • Search Publications Service
    • Browse by Warwick Author
    • Browse Publications service by Year
    • Browse Publications service by Subject
    • Browse Publications service by Department
    • Browse Publications service by Funder
  • Help & Advice
University of Warwick

The Library

  • Login
  • Admin

Habemus Papam? : polarization and conflict in the papal states

Tools
- Tools
+ Tools

Pino, Francisco J. and Vidal-Robert, Jordi (2014) Habemus Papam? : polarization and conflict in the papal states. Working Paper. University of Warwick. Department of Economics. CAGE Online Working Paper Series, Volume 2014 (Number 189). (Unpublished)

[img]
Preview
PDF (Working paper)
WRAP_189-2014_j_vidal-robert.pdf - Requires a PDF viewer.

Download (1284Kb) | Preview
Official URL: file:///C:/Users/lyshai/Desktop/WRAP_189-2014_j_vi...

Request Changes to record.

Abstract

We study the effect of divisions within the elite on the probability of internal conflict in the Papal States between 1295 and 1846. We assemble a new database using information on cardinals that participated in conclaves during this period, and construct measures of polarization and fractionalization based on the cardinals' places of birth. The deaths of popes and cardinals provide plausible exogenous variation in the timing of the conclave and the composition of the College of Cardinals, which we exploit to analyze the causal effect of a divided conclave on conflict. We find that an increase of one standard deviation in our measure of polarization raised the likelihood of internal conflict by between 2 and 3 percent in a given year and by up to 15 percent in a given papacy. The effect is largest in the initial years after the conclave, to gradually vanish over time. Cardinals' influence on the politics of the Papal States decreased after reforms introduced between 1586 and 1588. Our measure of religious productivity, however, is negatively and significantly linked to polarization in the post-reform period. These reforms were successful in shifting the effect of divisions among the elite of one of the largest and oldest organizations from violent conflict to religious matters.

Item Type: Working or Discussion Paper (Working Paper)
Alternative Title:
Subjects: B Philosophy. Psychology. Religion > BX Christian Denominations
D History General and Old World > DG Italy
H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions: Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): Papal States -- History, Papal States -- Econometric models, Cardinals -- History, Cardinals -- Econometric models
Series Name: CAGE Online Working Paper Series
Publisher: University of Warwick. Department of Economics
Official Date: 9 April 2014
Dates:
DateEvent
9 April 2014Available
Volume: Volume 2014
Number: Number 189
Number of Pages: 49
Status: Not Peer Reviewed
Publication Status: Unpublished
Access rights to Published version: Open Access (Creative Commons)

Request changes or add full text files to a record

Repository staff actions (login required)

View Item View Item

Downloads

Downloads per month over past year

View more statistics

twitter

Email us: wrap@warwick.ac.uk
Contact Details
About Us