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Japan's “strategy-less” North Korea strategy : shifting policies of dialogue and deterrence and implications for Japan-US-South Korea security cooperation
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Hughes, Christopher W. (2000) Japan's “strategy-less” North Korea strategy : shifting policies of dialogue and deterrence and implications for Japan-US-South Korea security cooperation. The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Volume 12 (Number 2). pp. 153-181. doi:10.1080/10163270009463993 ISSN 1016-3271.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10163270009463993
Abstract
North Korea's missile launch in August 1998 represented a continued DPRK threat to regional stability, but progress was made in addressing security concerns through engagement. Arguably, the US and South Korea have derived key policy lessons: the need to employ balanced policies of engagement and containment and balanced use of economic and military power; the value of coordination of bilateral, trilateral and multilateral strategies towards the North; the importance of keeping Japan on board the engagement strategy as a major long-term source of economic assistance to the North. This paper argues that Tokyo abandoned a balanced approach in each of the key policy lessons and shifted erratically between dialogue and deterrence. The result was to create Japan-US and Japan-ROK friction and threaten to undermine the Perry process. Major lessons: Japan's concerns about North Korea have quickened the remilitarization of its security policy; its continued security concerns may lead it to abandon again the engagement strategy and undermine the Perry process and sunshine policy; Japan's “strategy-less strategy” between 1998 and 1999 and its loss of policy balance may serve as a warning to the Kim Dae-jung administration that perceived over-reliance on engagement, economic power, bilateral approaches, and an impatient grab for reunification could threaten Japan-US-South Korea trilateral cooperation.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||
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Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Politics and International Studies | ||||
Journal or Publication Title: | The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis | ||||
Publisher: | Taylor & Francis | ||||
ISSN: | 1016-3271 | ||||
Official Date: | 2000 | ||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | Volume 12 | ||||
Number: | Number 2 | ||||
Page Range: | pp. 153-181 | ||||
DOI: | 10.1080/10163270009463993 | ||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access |
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