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Nuclear emergency decision support : a behavioural OR perspective
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Argyris, Nikolaos and French, Simon (2017) Nuclear emergency decision support : a behavioural OR perspective. European Journal of Operational Research, 262 (1). pp. 180-193. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.059 ISSN 0377-2217.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.059
Abstract
Operational researchers, risk and decision analysts need consider many behavioural issues. Despite many OR applications in nuclear emergency decision support, the literature has not paid sufficient attention to behavioural matters. In working on designing decision support processes for nuclear emergency management, we have encountered many behavioural issues. In this paper we synthesise the findings in the literature with our experience and identify a number of behavioural challenges to nuclear emergency decision support. In addition to challenges in model-building and interaction, we pay attention to a behavioural issue that is often neglected: the analysis itself and the communication of its implications may have behavioural consequences. We introduce proposals to address these challenges. First, we propose the use of models relying on incomplete preference information, outlining a framework and illustrating it with data from a previous decision analysis for the Chernobyl Project. Moreover, we reflect on the responsibility that rests on the analyst in addressing behavioural issues sensitively in order to lessen the effects on public stress. In doing so we make a distinction between System 1 Societal Deliberation and System 2 Societal Deliberation and discuss how this can help structure societal deliberation in the context of nuclear emergencies.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||||
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Subjects: | T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering | ||||||||
Divisions: | Faculty of Science, Engineering and Medicine > Science > Statistics | ||||||||
Library of Congress Subject Headings (LCSH): | Operations research, Nuclear power plants -- Accidents, Nuclear reactor accidents, Chernobyl Nuclear Accident, Chornobylʹ, Ukraine, 1986 | ||||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | European Journal of Operational Research | ||||||||
Publisher: | Elsevier Science BV | ||||||||
ISSN: | 0377-2217 | ||||||||
Official Date: | October 2017 | ||||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 262 | ||||||||
Number: | 1 | ||||||||
Page Range: | pp. 180-193 | ||||||||
DOI: | 10.1016/j.ejor.2017.03.059 | ||||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 18 May 2017 | ||||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 30 March 2019 | ||||||||
Funder: | City University (London, England), University of Manchester, Open University, UK-India Civil Nuclear Power Collaboration (UKICNPC), Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) | ||||||||
Grant number: | EP/K007580/1 (EPSRC) |
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