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When can citizen communication hinder successful revolution
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Shadmehr, Mehdi and Bernhardt, Dan (2017) When can citizen communication hinder successful revolution. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 12 (3). pp. 301-323. doi:10.1561/100.00017008 ISSN 1554-0626.
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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00017008
Abstract
We show that when citizens are uncertain about whether a successful revolution will turn out better than the status quo, communication between citizens reduces the likelihood of successful revolution when the status quo is sufficiently bad. A bad regime faces a tradeoff: communication helps citizens to coordinate, facilitating revolution; but it also facilitates the dissemination of any negative information about the alternative to the status quo, forestalling revolution. When the regime is sufficiently bad, this latter effect dominates. This result contrasts with the literature that assumes that each citizen knows that he wants to change the regime, but he is uncertain about whether enough citizens will revolt. In such settings, communication always raises the likelihood of successful revolution.
Item Type: | Journal Article | ||||||
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Divisions: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics | ||||||
Journal or Publication Title: | Quarterly Journal of Political Science | ||||||
Publisher: | Now Publishers Inc. | ||||||
ISSN: | 1554-0626 | ||||||
Official Date: | 24 October 2017 | ||||||
Dates: |
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Volume: | 12 | ||||||
Number: | 3 | ||||||
Page Range: | pp. 301-323 | ||||||
DOI: | 10.1561/100.00017008 | ||||||
Status: | Peer Reviewed | ||||||
Publication Status: | Published | ||||||
Access rights to Published version: | Restricted or Subscription Access | ||||||
Date of first compliant deposit: | 31 May 2017 | ||||||
Date of first compliant Open Access: | 24 October 2018 | ||||||
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