Prosser, N. S., Green, M. J., Ferguson, E., Tildesley, Michael J., Hill, Edward M., Keeling, Matthew James and Kaler, J. (2022) Cattle farmer psychosocial profiles and their association with control strategies for bovine viral diarrhea. Journal of Dairy Science, 105 (4). pp. 3559-3573. doi:10.3168/jds.2021-21386

Rysava, Kristyna, Espineda, Jason, Silo, Eva Angela V., Carino, Sarah, Aringo, Ariane Mae, Bernales, Rona P., Adonay, Florencio F., Tildesley, Michael J. and Hampson, Katie (2022) One health surveillance for rabies : a case study of integrated bite case management in Albay Province, Philippines. Frontiers in Tropical Diseases, 3 . 787524. doi:10.3389/fitd.2022.787524

Leng, Trystan, Hill, Edward M., Holmes, Alexander, Southall, Emma, Thompson, Robin N., Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J. and Dyson, Louise (2022) Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools. Nature Communications, 13 (1). 1106. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-28731-9

Kretzschmar, Mirjam E., Ashby, Ben, Fearon, Elizabeth, Overton, Christopher E., Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina, Pellis, Lorenzo, Quaife, Matthew, Rozhnova, Ganna, Scarabel, Francesca, Stage, Helena B., Swallow, Ben, Thompson, Robin N., Tildesley, Michael J. and Villela, Daniel (2022) Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics, 38 . 100546. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546

Holmes, Alexander, Tildesley, Michael J. and Dyson, Louise (2022) Approximating steady state distributions for household structured epidemic models. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 534 . 110974. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110974

Keeling, Matt J., Dyson, Louise, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, Semple, Malcolm G., Tildesley, Michael J. and Hill, Edward M. (2022) Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Statistical Methods in Medical Research . doi:10.1177/09622802211070257 (In Press)

Fairbanks, Emma L., Brennan, Marnie L., Mertens, Peter P. C., Tildesley, Michael J. and Daly, Janet M. (2022) Re‐parameterization of a mathematical model of African horse sickness virus using data from a systematic literature search. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases . doi:10.1111/tbed.14420 (In Press)

Guyver‐Fletcher, Glen, Gorsich, Erin E. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2022) A model exploration of carrier and movement transmission as potential explanatory causes for the persistence of foot‐and‐mouth disease in endemic regions. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases . doi:10.1111/tbed.14423 (In Press)

Keeling, Matthew James, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Hill, Edward M. and Medley, Graham F. (2021) Precautionary breaks : planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease. Epidemics, 37 . 100526. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100526

Howerton, Emily, Ferrari, Matthew J., Bjørnstad, Ottar N., Bogich, Tiffany L., Borchering, Rebecca K., Jewell, Chris P., Nichols, James D., Probert, William J. M. , Runge, Michael C., Tildesley, Michael J., Viboud, Cécile and Shea, Katriona (2021) Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19 : mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing. PLOS Computational Biology, 17 (10). e1009518. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009518

Dyson, Louise, Hill, Edward M., Moore, Sam, Curran-Sebastian, Jacob, Tildesley, Michael J., Lythgoe, Katrina A., House, Thomas, Pellis, Lorenzo and Keeling, Matthew James (2021) Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics. Nature Communications, 12 . 5730. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-25915-7

Southall, Emma, Brett, Tobias S., Tildesley, Michael J. and Dyson, Louise (2021) Early warning signals of infectious disease transitions : a review. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 18 (182). 20210555. doi:10.1098/rsif.2021.0555

Tennant, Warren, Cardinale, Eric, Cêtre-Sossah, Catherine, Moutroifi, Youssouf, Le Godais, Gilles, Colombi, Davide, Spencer, Simon E. F., Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matt J., Charafouddine, Onzade, Colizza, Vittoria, Edmunds, W. John and Métras, Raphaëlle (2021) Modelling the persistence and control of Rift Valley fever virus in a spatially heterogeneous landscape. Nature Communications, 12 (1). 5593. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-25833-8

Hill, Edward M., Atkins, Benjamin D., Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J. and Dyson, Louise (2021) Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting. Epidemics, 36 . 100476. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100476

Enright, Jessica, Hill, Edward M., Stage, Helena B., Bolton, Kirsty J., Nixon, Emily J., Fairbanks, Emma L., Tang, Maria L., Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Dyson, Louise, Budd, Chris J., Hoyle, Rebecca B., Schewe, Lars, Gog, Julia R. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK university students : lessons from September–December 2020 and modelling insights for future student return. Royal Society Open Science , 8 (8). 210310. doi:10.1098/rsos.210310

Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J., Atkins, Benjamin D., Penman, Bridget S., Southall, Emma, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, McKimm, Hector, Gorsich, Erin E., Hill, Edward M. and Dyson, Louise (2021) The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376 (1829). 20200261. doi:10.1098/rstb.2020.0261

Nichols, James D., Bogich, Tiffany L., Howerton, Emily, Bjørnstad, Ottar N., Borchering, Rebecca K., Ferrari, Matthew, Haran, Murali, Jewell, Christopher, Pepin, Kim M., Probert, William J. M., Pulliam, Juliet R. C., Runge, Michael C., Tildesley, Michael J., Viboud, Cécile and Shea, Katriona (2021) Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making. PLoS Biology, 19 (6). e3001307. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.3001307

Hill, Edward M., Atkins, Benjamin D., Keeling, Matt J., Dyson, Louise and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) A network modelling approach to assess non-pharmaceutical disease controls in a worker population : an application to SARS-CoV-2. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (6). e1009058. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009058

Southall, Emma, Holmes, Alexander, Hill, Edward M., Atkins, Benjamin D., Leng, Trystan, Thompson, Robin N., Dyson, Louise, Keeling, Matthew James and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) An analysis of school absences in England during the COVID-19 pandemic. BMC Medicine, 19 (1). 137. doi:10.1186/s12916-021-01990-x

Moore, Sam, Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J., Dyson, Louise and Keeling, Matt J. (2021) Vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19 : a mathematical modelling study. Lancet Infectious Diseases, 21 (6). pp. 793-802. doi:10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00143-2

Tao, Yun, Probert, William J. M. , Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Lafferty, Kevin, Tildesley, Michael J. and Ferrari, Matthew (2021) Causes of delayed outbreak responses and their impacts on epidemic spread. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 18 (176). 20200933. doi:10.1098/rsif.2020.0933

Keeling, Matt J., Hill, Edward M., Gorsich, Erin E., Penman, Bridget S., Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, Leng, Trystan, McKimm, Hector, Tamborrino, Massimiliano, Dyson, Louise and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK : short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (1). e1008619. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008619

Moore, Sam, Hill, Edward M., Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matt J. (2021) Modelling optimal vaccination strategy for SARS-CoV-2 in the UK. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (5). e1008849. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008849

Atkins, Benjamin D., Jewell, Chris P., Runge, Michael C., Ferrari, Matthew J., Shea, Katriona, Probert, William J. M. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2020) Anticipating future learning affects current control decisions : a comparison between passive and active adaptive management in an epidemiological setting. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 506 . 110380. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110380

Holmes, Alexander, Tildesley, Michael J., Solomon, Anthony W., Mabey, David C. W., Sokana, Oliver, Marks, Michael and Dyson, Louise (2020) Modelling treatment strategies to inform Yaws eradication. Emerging Infectious Diseases , 26 (11). pp. 2685-2693. doi:10.3201/eid2611.191491

van Andel, Mary, Tildesley, Michael J. and Gates, M. Carolyn (2020) Challenges and opportunities for using national animal datasets to support foot‐and‐mouth disease control. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases . doi:10.1111/tbed.13858

Southall, Emma, Tildesley, Michael J. and Dyson, Louise (2020) Prospects for detecting early warning signals in discrete event sequence data : application to epidemiological incidence data. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (9). e1007836. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007836

Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Pannell, David, Probert, William J. M., Li, Shou-Li, Tildesley, Michael J. and Ferrari, Matthew (2020) Harnessing multiple models for outbreak management. Science, 368 (6491). pp. 577-579. doi:10.1126/science.abb9934

Sellman, Stefan, Tildesley, Michael J., Burdett, Christopher L., Miller, Ryan S., Hallman, Clayton, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Portacci, Katie and Lindström, Tom (2020) Realistic assumptions about spatial locations and clustering of premises matter for models of foot-and-mouth disease spread in the United States. PLoS Computational Biology, 16 (2). e1007641. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007641

Tennant, Warren, Tildesley, Michael J., Spencer, Simon E. F. and Keeling, Matthew James (2020) Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898–1949. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 287 (1928). 20200538. doi:10.1098/rspb.2020.0538

Pollington, Timothy, Tildesley, Michael J., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre and Chapman, Lloyd A. C. (2020) Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic. Spatial Statistics . 100438. doi:10.1016/j.spasta.2020.100438

(2020) Rapid in-country sequencing of whole virus genomes to inform rabies elimination programmes. Wellcome Open Research, 5 . doi:10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15518.1

Hampson, Katie, Abela-Ridder, Bernadette, Changalucha, Joel, Cleaveland, Sarah, Knopf, Lea, Lushasi, Kennedy, Miranda, Mary Elizabeth, Thumbi, SM, Rysava, Kristyna, Tenzin, Tenzin, Tildesley, Michael, Wallace, Ryan and Trotter, Caroline (2020) Zero human deaths from dog-mediated rabies by 2030 : perspectives from quantitative and mathematical modelling. Gates Open Research, 3 . p. 1564. doi:10.12688/gatesopenres.13074.2

Tsao, Kimberly, Sellman, Stefan, Beck-Johnson, Lindsay M., Murrieta, Deedra J., Hallman, Clayton, Lindström, Tom, Miller, Ryan S., Portacci, Katie, Tildesley, Michael J. and Webb, Colleen T. (2019) Effects of regional differences and demography in modelling foot-and-mouth disease in cattle at the national scale. Interface Focus, 10 (1). 20190054. doi:10.1098/rsfs.2019.0054

Dessavre, Adjani Gama, Southall, Emma, Tildesley, Michael J. and Dyson, Louise (2019) The problem of detrending when analysing potential indicators of disease elimination. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 481 . pp. 183-193. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2019.04.011

Dyson, Louise, Mooring, Eric Q., Holmes, Alexander, Tildesley, Michael J. and Marks, Michael (2019) Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed 2030 goals for yaws. Gates Open Research, 3 . 1576. doi:10.12688/gatesopenres.13078.1

Tildesley, Michael J., Brand, Samuel, Brooks Pollock, E., Bradbury, Naomi, Werkman, Marleen and Keeling, Matthew James (2019) The role of movement restrictions in limiting the economic impact of livestock infections. Nature Sustainability, 2 . pp. 834-840. doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0356-5

Chaiban, Celia, Biscio, Christophe, Thanapongtharm, Weerapong, Tildesley, Michael J., Xiao, Xiangming, Robinson, Timothy P., Vanwambeke, Sophie O. and Gilbert, Marius (2019) Point pattern simulation modelling of extensive and intensive chicken farming in Thailand : accounting for clustering and landscape characteristics. Agricultural Systems, 173 . pp. 335-344. doi:10.1016/j.agsy.2019.03.004

Li, Shou-Li, Ferrari, Matthew J., Bjørnstad, Ottar N., Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Pannell, David and Shea, Katriona (2019) Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control : Ebola as a case study. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 286 (1905). 20190774. doi:10.1098/rspb.2019.0774

Arzt, Jonathan, Branan, Matthew A., Delgado, Amy H., Yadav, Shankar, Moreno-Torres, Karla I., Tildesley, Michael J. and Stenfeldt, Carolina (2019) Quantitative impacts of incubation phase transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus. Scientific Reports, 9 (1). 2707. doi:10.1038/s41598-019-39029-0

Probert, W. J. M., Lakkur, S., Fonnesbeck, C. J., Shea, K., Runge, M. C., Tildesley, M. J. and Ferrari, M. J. (2019) Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 374 (1776). p. 20180277. doi:10.1098/rstb.2018.0277

Retkute, Renata, Jewell, Chris P., Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Zhang, Geli, Xiao, Xiangming, Thanapongtharme, Weerapong, Keeling, Matthew James, Gilbert, Marius and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand : the role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 159 . pp. 171-181. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.09.014

Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas A., Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Brum, Eric, Yamage, Mat, Kalam, Md. A., Prosser, Diann J., Takekawa, John Y., Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (9). e1006439. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006439

Koelle, Katia, Probert, William J. M. , Jewell, Chris P., Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C., Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. PLoS Computational Biology, 14 (7). e1006202. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006202

Meadows, Amanda J., Mundt, Christopher C., Keeling, Matthew James and Tildesley, Michael J. (2018) Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics. Ecosphere, 9 (7). e02294. doi:10.1002/ecs2.2294

Sellman, Stefan, Tsao, Kimberly, Tildesley, Michael J., Brommesson, Peter, Webb, Colleen T., Wennergren, Uno, Keeling, Matthew James and Lindström, Tom (2018) Need for speed : an optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. PLOS Computational Biology, 14 (4). e1006086. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006086

Gilbert, Marius, Prosser, Diann J., Zhang, Geli, Artois, Jean, Dhingra, Madhur S., Tildesley, Michael J., Newman, Scott H., Guo, Fusheng, Black, Peter, Claes, Filip, Kalpradvidh, Wantanee, Shin, YeunKyung, Jeong, Wooseog, Takekawa, John Y., Lee, Hansoo and Xiao, Xiangming (2017) Could changes in the agricultural landscape of northeastern China have influenced the long-distance transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5Nx viruses? Frontiers In Veterinary Science, 4 (225). 04-00225. doi:10.3389/fvets.2017.00225

Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J. and House, Thomas A. (2017) How predictable are flu pandemics? Significance, 14 (6). pp. 28-33. doi:10.1111/j.1740-9713.2017.01090.x

Hill, Edward M., House, Thomas A., Dhingra, Madhur S., Kalpravidh, Wantanee, Morzaria, Subhash, Osmani, Muzaffar G., Yamage, Mat, Xiao, Xiangming, Gilbert, Marius and Tildesley, Michael J. (2017) Modelling H5N1 in Bangladesh across spatial scales : model complexity and zoonotic transmission risk. Epidemics, 20 . pp. 37-55. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2017.02.007

Li, Shou-Li, Bjørnstad, Ottar N., Ferrari, Matthew J., Mummah, Riley, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Tildesley, Michael J., Probert, William J. M. and Shea, Katriona (2017) Essential information : uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114 (22). pp. 5659-5664. 201617482. doi:10.1073/pnas.1617482114

Hill, Edward M., Tildesley, Michael J. and House, Thomas A. (2017) Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports, 7 . 43623. doi:10.1038/srep43623

Webb, Colleen, Ferrari, Matthew, Lindstrom, Tom, Carpenter, Tim, Durr, Salome, Garner, Graeme, Jewell, Chris, Stevenson, Mark, Ward, Michael, Werkman, Marleen, Backer, Jantien and Tildesley, Michael J. (2017) Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support emergency disease management. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, 138 . pp. 124-133.

Bradbury, Naomi V., Probert, William J. M. , Shea, Katriona, Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Keeling, Matthew James, Ferrari, Matthew J. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2017) Quantifying the value of perfect information in emergency vaccination campaigns. PLoS Computational Biology, 13 (2). e1005318. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005318

Pomeroy, L. W., Bansal, S., Tildesley, M., Moreno-Torres, K. I., Moritz, M., Xiao, N., Carpenter, T. E. and Garabed, R. B. (2017) Data-driven models of foot-and-mouth disease dynamics : a review. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, 64 (3). pp. 716-728. doi:10.1111/tbed.12437

Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J., Brooks-Pollock, Ellen and Keeling, Matthew James (2016) Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics, 17 . pp. 35-41. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2016.10.004

Probert, William J. M. , Shea, Katriona, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J., Runge, Michael C., Carpenter, Tim E., Dürr, Salome, Garner, M. G. (Michael Graeme), Harvey, Neil, Stevenson, Mark A., Webb, Colleen T., Werkman, Marleen, Tildesley, Michael J. and Ferrari, Matthew J. (2016) Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control : objectives matter. Epidemics, 15 . pp. 10-19. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2015.11.002

Dawson, Peter Michael, Werkman, Marleen, Brooks-Pollock, Ellen and Tildesley, Michael J. (2015) Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world : modelling disease spread with partial data. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Volume 282 (Number 1808). Article number 20150205. doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.0205

Lindström, Tom, Tildesley, Michael J. and Webb, Colleen T. (2015) A bayesian ensemble approach for epidemiological projections. PLoS Computational Biology, 11 (4). e1004187. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004187

Brand, Samuel, Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2015) Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics : a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Volume 370 . pp. 121-134. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.01.027

Shea, Katriona, Tildesley, Michael J., Runge, Michael C., Fonnesbeck, Christopher J. and Ferrari, Matthew J. (2014) Adaptive management and the value of information : learning via intervention in epidemiology. PLoS Biology, 12 (10). e1001970. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001970

Buhnerkempe, Michael G., Tildesley, Michael J., Lindström, Tom, Grear, Daniel A., Portacci, Katie, Miller, Ryan S., Lombard, Jason E., Werkman, Marleen, Keeling, Matthew James, Wennergren, Uno and Webb, Colleen T. (2014) The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. PLoS One, Volume 9 (Number 3). Article number e91724. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0091724

Van Boeckel, Thomas P., Tildesley, Michael J., Linard, Catherine, Halloy, José, Keeling, Matthew James and Gilbert, Marius (2013) The Nosoi commute : a spatial perspective on the rise of BSL-4 laboratories in cities. UNSPECIFIED. Cornell University: arXiv. (Unpublished)

Porphyre, Thibaud, Auty, Harriet K., Tildesley, Michael J., Gunn, George J. and Woolhouse, M. E. J., (Mark E. J.) (2013) Vaccination against Foot-and-mouth disease : do initial conditions affect its benefit? PLOS ONE, Volume 8 (Number 10). Article number e77616. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0077616

Yan, Lei, Gao, Yan, Zhang, Yong, Tildesley, Michael J., Liu, L, Zhang, Y, Wen, Leying, Wang, Wei, Li, Xiaodan, Hu, Ying, Bai, Tian, Wang, Min, Zeng, Yuhong, Wang, Dingming, Wang, Xianjun, Lan, Yu, Wang, Shiwen and Shu, Yuelong (2012) Epidemiological and virological characteristics of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 in school outbreaks in China. PLoS One, Vol.7 (No.9). e45898. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0045898

Tildesley, Michael J., Smith, Gary and Keeling, Matthew James (2012) Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.104 (No.3-4). pp. 224-239. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2011.11.007

Tildesley, Michael J., Gally, D. L., McNeilly, T. N., Low, J. C., Mahajan, A. and Savill, N. J. (2012) Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157 : H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.9 (No.68). pp. 518-527. doi:10.1098/rsif.2011.0293

Tildesley, Michael J. and Ryan, Sadie J. (2012) Disease prevention versus data privacy : using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models. PLoS Computational Biology, Vol.8 (No.11). e1002723. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002723

Tildesley, Michael J., Volkova, Victoriya and Woolhouse, M. E. J. (Mark E. J.) (2011) Potential for epidemic take-off from the primary outbreak farm via livestock movements. BMC Veterinary Research, Vol.7 (No.1). p. 76. doi:10.1186/1746-6148-7-76

Tildesley, Michael J., House, Thomas A., Bruhn, Mark C., Curry, Ross J., O'Neil, Maggie, Allpress, Justine L. E., Smith, Gary and Keeling, Matthew James (2010) Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, Vol.107 (No.3). pp. 1041-1046. doi:10.1073/pnas.0909047107

Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen. P., Grenfell, Bryan T., Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J. and Woolhouse, Mark E. J. (2010) Inference for individual-level models of infectious diseases in large populations. Statistica Sinica, Vol.20 (No.1). pp. 239-261.

Tildesley, Michael J., Bessell, Paul R., Keeling, Matthew James and Woolhouse, Mark E. J. (2009) The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease. Royal Society of London. Proceedings B. Biological Sciences, Vol.276 (No.1671). pp. 3239-3248. doi:10.1098/rspb.2009.0427

Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Corrigendum to 'Is R-0 a good predictor of final epidemic size: foot-and-mouth disease in the UK': [vol 258, pg 623, 2009]. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.259 (No.4). p. 863. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.05.015

Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2009) Is R0 a good predictor of final epidemic size : foot-and-mouth disease in the UK. Journal of Theoretical Biology, Vol.258 (No.4). pp. 623-629. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.02.019

Tildesley, Michael J., Deardon, Rob, Savill, Nicholas J., Bessell, Paul R., Brooks, Stephen P., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Grenfell, Bryan T. and Keeling, Matthew James (2008) Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proceedings of the Royal Society B. Biological Sciences , Vol.275 (No.1641). pp. 1459-1468. doi:10.1098/rspb.2008.0006

Tildesley, Michael J. and Keeling, Matthew James (2008) Modelling foot-and-mouth disease : a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Preventive Veterinary Medicine, Vol.85 (No.1-2). pp. 107-124. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2008.01.008

Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Brooks, Stephen P. and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2007) Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol.4 (No.13). pp. 235-241. doi:10.1098/rsif.2006.0178

Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen P., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Grenfell, Bryan T. and Keeling, Matthew James (2007) Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease. Nature, Vol.445 (No.7128). E12-E13. doi:10.1038/nature05605

Keeling, Matthew James, Tildesley, Michael J., Savill, Nicholas J., Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Shaw, Duncan, Deardon, Rob, Brooks, Stephen P. and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2006) FMD control strategies - Comment. Veterinary Record, Volume 158 (Number 20). pp. 707-708. doi:10.1136/vr.158.20.707

Savill, Nicholas J., Shaw, Darren J., Deardon, Rob, Tildesley, Michael J., Keeling, Matthew James, Woolhouse, Mark E. J., Brooks, Stephan P. and Grenfell, Bryan T. (2006) Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. BMC Veterinary Research, Vol.2 (No.3). doi:10.1186/1746-6148-2-3

Ryan, S. and Tildesley, Michael J. The utility of land cover maps to inform spatial epidemic models of disease transmission in the UK livestock industry. PLoS Computational Biology .