2022

Dufresne, Yannick, Jérôme, Bruno, Lewis-Beck, Michael S., Murr, Andreas E. and Savoie, Justin (2022) Citizen forecasting : the 2022 French presidential election. PS: Political Science & Politics, 55 (4). pp. 730-734. doi:10.1017/S1049096522000567 ISSN 1049-0965.

Murr, Andreas, Traunmüller, Richard and Gill, Jeff (2022) Computing quantities of interest and their uncertainty using Bayesian simulation. Political Science Research and Methods . doi:10.1017/psrm.2022.18 ISSN 2049-8470. (In Press)

Murr, Andreas and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2022) Citizen forecasts of the 2021 German election. PS: Political Science & Politics, 55 (1). pp. 97-101. doi:10.1017/S1049096521000925 ISSN 1049-0965.

2021

Murr, Andreas (2021) Do party leadership contests forecast British general elections? Electoral Studies, 72 . 102342. doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2021.102342 ISSN 0261-3794.

Murr, Andreas E. and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2021) Data for Citizen forecasting 2020 : a state-by-state experiment. [Dataset]

Murr, Andreas E. and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2021) Citizen forecasting 2020 : a state-by-state experiment. PS: Political Science and Politics, 54 (1). pp. 91-95. doi:10.1017/S1049096520001456 ISSN 1049-0965.

Murr, Andreas , Stegmaier, Mary and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2021) Vote expectations versus vote intentions : rival forecasting strategies. British Journal of Political Science, 51 (1). pp. 60-67. doi:10.1017/S0007123419000061 ISSN 0007-1234.

2019

Murr, Andreas , Stegmaier, Mary and Lewis-Beck, Michael S. (2019) Data for Vote expectations versus vote intentions : rival forecasting strategies. [Dataset]

2018

Leiter, Debra, Murr, Andreas , Rascon, Ericka and Stegmaier, Mary (2018) Social networks and citizen election forecasting : the more friends the better. International Journal of Forecasting, 34 (2). pp. 235-248. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2017.11.006 ISSN 0169-2070.

2015

Murr, Andreas (2015) The wisdom of crowds : applying Condorcet’s jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections. International Journal of Forecasting, 31 (3). pp. 916-929. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2014.12.002 ISSN 0169-2070.

Murr, Andreas (2015) The party leadership model : an early forecast of the 2015 British general election. Research & Politics, 2 (2). pp. 1-9. doi:10.1177/2053168015583346 ISSN 2053-1680.

Traunmüller, Richard, Murr, Andreas and Gill, Jeff (2015) Modeling latent information in voting data with Dirichlet process priors. Political Analysis, 23 (01). pp. 1-20. doi:10.1093/pan/mpu018 ISSN 1047-1987.