2022

Keeling, Matt J., Dyson, Louise, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, Semple, Malcolm G., Tildesley, Michael J. and Hill, Edward M. (2022) Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Statistical Methods in Medical Research , 31 (9). pp. 1716-1737. doi:10.1177/09622802211070257 ISSN 0962-2802.

2021

Guyver‐Fletcher, Glen, Gorsich, Erin E. and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) A model exploration of carrier and movement transmission as potential explanatory causes for the persistence of foot‐and‐mouth disease in endemic regions. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases . doi:10.1111/tbed.14423 ISSN 1865-1674.

Keeling, Matthew James, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Dyson, Louise, Tildesley, Michael J., Hill, Edward M. and Medley, Graham F. (2021) Precautionary breaks : planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease. Epidemics, 37 . 100526. doi:10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100526 ISSN 1755-4365.

Keeling, Matt J., Tildesley, Michael J., Atkins, Benjamin D., Penman, Bridget S., Southall, Emma, Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, McKimm, Hector, Gorsich, Erin E., Hill, Edward M. and Dyson, Louise (2021) The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 376 (1829). 20200261. doi:10.1098/rstb.2020.0261 ISSN 0962-8436.

Keeling, Matt J., Hill, Edward M., Gorsich, Erin E., Penman, Bridget S., Guyver-Fletcher, Glen, Holmes, Alexander, Leng, Trystan, McKimm, Hector, Tamborrino, Massimiliano, Dyson, Louise and Tildesley, Michael J. (2021) Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK : short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies. PLoS Computational Biology, 17 (1). e1008619. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008619 ISSN 1553-7358.